TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will EC Bahia win on 2026-04-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,472
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,781

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,472 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2533…5c8cbacked Yes10c12,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,799.781250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes60c7,666$4,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,035.734669.6%32 W · 14 L+8.1wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+29%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No20c4,094$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.7414443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No77c3,688$2,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,843.912,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No80c3,673$2,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,935.795,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes21c3,457$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,741.443928.2%11 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes29c3,258$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,300.421758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No78c2,703$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.651,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes30c2,692$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.616944.9%31 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes80c2,498$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.751,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No42c2,344$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.111,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes16c2,244$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,895.821,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c1,461$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.643,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No70c1,287$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.975046%23 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes13c1,164$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.5315326.1%40 W · 113 L+0.7wins0.00per pick26cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No71c1,126$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.1620059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2099…4a6fbacked Yes28c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7202425%6 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes24c785.54$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.553315.2%5 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes13c691.89$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.9546530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No72c682.59$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.4624665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No70c646.67$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.671,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No70c586.62$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.91,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes13c583.26$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.442931%9 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes47c573.26$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.3782434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes77c564.53$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.358268.3%56 W · 26 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes77c487.66$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9336339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes22c472.27$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.372560%15 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No71c406.21$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.351,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed No70c400$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Yes14c331.94$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.474738.3%18 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2807…27d5backed Yes30c319.33$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.536020%12 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1159…6228backed Yes25c267.4$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.55616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No71c250$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.51,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cdd…a775backed Yes17c245.43$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.61333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+91.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes31c212.84$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.3715768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes22c209.73$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.135949.2%29 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes25c202.5$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.174542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Yes34c191.58$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.635042%21 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes14c176.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.73033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No30c156.54$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5785220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes16c151.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.583,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes78c147.29$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4218338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x533d…ceeebacked No17c147$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.993010%3 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick11cpaid+8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked No70c140.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.22576%19 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+44.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked No70c140.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.24461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked No70c140.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.22774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No53c133.23$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.181,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33dd…e43abacked Yes28c113.53$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.952025%5 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-36.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc202…8488backed Yes29c112.25$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.71266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+78.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes13c109.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.148149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x166e…3303backed Yes29c96.18$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.978137%30 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes30c95.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.06633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes12c94.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.355438.9%21 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf870…ae68backed Yes77c90.03$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.52475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No76c87.72$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6710564.8%68 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04e7…332fbacked No72c80.77$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.162352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes15c77.11$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1713023.1%30 W · 100 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No70c71.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.42,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…0c64backed No67c67.68$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.397061.4%43 W · 27 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+56.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0687…77bfbacked Yes29c66.03$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.883923.1%9 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62ed…f691backed Yes30c63.87$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.711266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+43.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82af…f919backed Yes30c63.87$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.713253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked No23c61.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.084965.3%32 W · 17 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes19c60$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.494848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No67c56.65$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.951,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed No79c46.28$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.339457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No67c45.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.422,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked No72c41.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0629362.5%183 W · 110 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No69c31.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.78261%50 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked No72c27.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.674351.2%22 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5be1…3371backed Yes74c26.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.927160.6%43 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed No72c25.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.145962.7%37 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked No79c23.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.558265.9%54 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed No77c22.45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.377162%44 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes46c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8424654.9%135 W · 111 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes56c20.08$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7427133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No69c16.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1520055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No80c13.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5157157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No80c13.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5163657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No80c13.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5144959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No80c13.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5136757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No80c13.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5115654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No80c13.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5134155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No80c13.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5116160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.