TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x533d…ceee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
399
Categories scored
44
Categories below 50
26

Best Category: Weather, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 60 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT3225%8 W · 24 L+4.9wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+190.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Weather — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.43
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.44
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+1,462.5%+$182.52
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.44
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$91.52
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$124.14
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.43
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 54°F or higher on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+672.1%+$161.33
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$195.52
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+900%+$112.5
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$165.54
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$83.52
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on March 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT3010%3 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick11cpaid+8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Unión: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Tigres de la UANL vs. Mazatlán FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Botafogo FR vs. SC Internacional: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.97
AA Estudiantes vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.97
AA Estudiantes vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.97
Mazatlán FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Club Necaxa vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will CA Mineiro vs. CA Juventud end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
CA Mineiro vs. CA Juventud: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.93
SE Palmeiras vs. CS Cristal: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$160.08
Will Racing Club vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.98
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Will Grêmio FBPA vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
São Paulo FC vs. O'Higgins FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+900%+$225
Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Tolima: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.97
Fluminense FC vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)backed Racing Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2920.7%6 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick10cpaid+54.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.84
Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.85
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+726.4%+$726.05
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.9
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$99.75
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+532.9%+$532.14
Will Iran strike Oman in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$99.88
Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$99.91
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$99.96
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$99.84
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$99.96
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.48
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.48
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+669.2%+$668.16
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.48
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$19.98
Will the US strike Syria next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+609.2%+$607.48
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+545.2%+$330.98
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+809.1%+$1,294.06
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.98
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.98
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.98
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.98
Will Donald Trump say "real peace" or "legitimate peace" during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$159.94
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2218.2%4 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick12cpaid+44.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+900%+$900
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.79
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.82
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.88
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+557.9%+$556.29
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$99.9
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$60.26
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+536.9%+$536.14
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$99.82
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$99.88
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$99.96
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$99.9
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$159.94
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+785%+$1,254.22
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Elon Musk post 130-139 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$159.8
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$159.75
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$159.89
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$159.98
All 22 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+244.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $305 on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.89
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24.96
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $205-$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.99
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $310-$315 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.93
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of February 23 above $137?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$24.96
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of February 23 above $136?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$24.96
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$24.97
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.71
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $405-$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+754.7%+$145.88
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of February 2 above $210?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24.95
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,700 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+4,900%+$980
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$39.99
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $460-$470 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of January 5 above $185?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 29 above $455?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.64
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 248.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$202.03
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.97
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.9
Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$202.01
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.93
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.97
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Nets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$99.91
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$99.9
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$99.96
Pelicans vs. Kings: 1H O/U 120.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$99.96
All 16 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT166.3%1 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.88
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.96
LoL: RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.96
LoL: Aeterna Esports vs TITANS (BO1) - LIT Regular Seasonbacked Aeterna Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.84
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.96
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.96
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.96
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$103.12
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.94
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.88
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.84
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.9
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.84
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.84
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$99.96
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+52.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.88
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$135.2
Will Super Bowl LX have between 124M and 128M viewers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$99.9
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$99.96
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+609.2%+$1,216.34
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+1,328.6%+$1,328.04
Will Callaita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will DÁKITI be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will I Like It be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Mike McDaniel be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$159.84
Will John Harbaugh be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$159.94
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT140%0 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Oxford United FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Norwich City FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
Coventry City FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.92
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.97
Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)backed Wrexham AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Ipswich Town FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$99.88
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99.88
All 14 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 19.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$286.69
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.84
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$21.34
Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5.5m and 7m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$59.94
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$159.94
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$159.96
Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$159.96
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.31
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.97
Kings vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Stars vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Golden Knights vs. Krakenbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.95
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wingsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+854.6%+$427.02
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Panthers vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Kraken vs. Jets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.97
Stars vs. Bruinsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Capitals vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23.73
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT130%0 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-3.5)backed Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Oklahoma Sooners vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Duke Blue Devils vs. LSU Tigers (W)backed LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.93
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.93
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.92
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 163.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.17
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Davidson Wildcatsbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.9
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.92
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Western Michigan Broncosbacked Western Michigan Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$99.88
All 13 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST130%0 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The Gap (GAP) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.48
Will Howard Hughes Holdings (HHH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.46
Will S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.48
Will Marriott International (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.42
Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.46
Will O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.48
Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$19.98
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$19.89
Will Capital One (COF) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will McCormick & Company (MKC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.88
Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will WD-40 Company (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.94
Will Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$39.81
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick9cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$183.04
Will Starmer say "U-Turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will Starmer say "National Security" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Will Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.48
Will Seguro win Portugal's Overseas Vote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$99.88
Will the Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win 140 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$99.88
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.89
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win by at least 250 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19.91
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win 310 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$99.9
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$159.89
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+575.7%+$920.16
All 12 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick10cpaid+144.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-1.5)backed Bucheon FC 1995 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$287.03
Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Taawoun Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$167.04
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$141.1
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.97
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.93
Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.93
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid+23.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.97
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$252.07
Will Elche CF win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.97
Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.97
Levante UD vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$99.72
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick9cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump say "Google" during tech signing event on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+1,566.7%+$391.04
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$99.84
Will Jensen Huang say "Elon" or "Musk" during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$39.93
Will Jensen Huang say "Grok" during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$159.98
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25.19
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$55
All 8 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$160
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$159.94
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$42.64
Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$39.93
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$26.64
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$116.54
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$159.84
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$159.9
All 8 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick12cpaid+78%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+205.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick12cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+322.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+117.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.97
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.84
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series Namibia vs Scotland: Namibia vs Scotlandbacked Namibia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$614.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$159.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.