MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8230c3ad4381d57b6110208fcd8f09f7294538a2476208bf725b68290c138ffc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Minnesota Twins, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $222,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 42,400$24,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,808.1 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 28,583$11,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,958.84 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,449.96 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 13,368$5,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,670.99 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 11,698$6,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,912.99 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 10,891$4,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,792.17 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 10,705$4,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,553.45 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 10,317$5,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,539.33 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 9,342$5,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,108.32 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 9,200$5,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,954.79 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 8,618$3,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,598.17 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 7,952$3,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,498.85 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 6,815$3,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,998.69 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.99 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 5,850$3,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.53 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 24c | 5,481$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,158.73 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Minnesota Twins | 1c | 4,961$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Minnesota Twins | 28c | 4,548$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.06 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 3,590$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.92 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 3,571$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.82 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 3,093$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.88 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 3,066$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.18 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 2,951$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.47 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 2,636$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.68 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 2,382$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.61 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 2,225$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.86 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 1,627$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.86 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 1,572$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.05 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 277 | 53.1%147 W · 130 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 1,293$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.28 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 70c | 1,249$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.27 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,245$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.68 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,074$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.41 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 1,042$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.89 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,016$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.19 | 320 | 58.4%187 W · 133 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Minnesota Twins | 63c | 994.99$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.56 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 984.89$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.94 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Minnesota Twins | 16c | 898.15$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.76 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 874.51$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.41 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 826.61$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.91 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Minnesota Twins | 73c | 787.04$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.54 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Minnesota Twins | 67c | 726.37$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.4 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Minnesota Twins | 78c | 724.94$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.78 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 672.28$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.36 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 624.85$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.44 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 598.19$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.22 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x838d…3cbdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 580.28$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 550$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Minnesota Twins | 5c | 546.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 545.47$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.38 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 533$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.2 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 24c | 527.05$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.63 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 512.74$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.48 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 502.83$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.34 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…fb90backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 483.93$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.57 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 460.39$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.76 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Minnesota Twins | 72c | 459.18$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.47 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 428.76$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.37 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 390.16$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.97 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbe…c2f3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 389.44$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.35 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Minnesota Twins | 78c | 374$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.65 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 296.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 293.02$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.07 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd475…abbbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 287.39$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…39abbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 22c | 285.87$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.38 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…de9bbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 285.09$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 257.51$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.58 | 203 | 51.7%105 W · 98 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 248.55$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.36 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 246.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.23 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 244.83$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 920 | 50%460 W · 460 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 240$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 233.65$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.57 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 230$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Minnesota Twins | 67c | 225.6$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.85 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 816 | 57.1%466 W · 350 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 216.52$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 214.56$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.26 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Minnesota Twins | 12c | 208$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 206.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.86 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 203.52$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.77 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 200$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 199.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 199.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.98 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked Minnesota Twins | 14c | 197.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…6499backed Minnesota Twins | 10c | 196.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Minnesota Twins | 28c | 191.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Minnesota Twins | 71c | 188$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.48 | 483 | 43.3%209 W · 274 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Minnesota Twins | 65c | 184.49$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.63 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2add…0cfdbacked Minnesota Twins | 8c | 183.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 99 | 28.3%28 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 181.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 181.42$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 181.42$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 406 | 48.5%197 W · 209 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 174.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 173.73$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.73 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 11.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 13.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 14.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.