Tennis · resolved market
Ostrava: Raul Brancaccio vs Toby Samuel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc773258f74d401b76b56a83280b331091f2912adf3908d4bc117a1b58fdc9727
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raul Brancaccioof Raul Brancaccio, Toby Samuel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Raul Brancaccio | 72c | 7,526$5,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.98 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Raul Brancaccio | 49c | 4,235$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.29 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…c619backed Raul Brancaccio | 39c | 2,266$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.98 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +7.6wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Raul Brancaccio | 41c | 1,689$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.22 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Raul Brancaccio | 30c | 1,647$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.27 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Raul Brancaccio | 30c | 1,597$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.67 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toby Samuel | 24c | 1,503$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.1 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raul Brancaccio | 40c | 1,481$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.06 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Toby Samuel | 9c | 1,110$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Toby Samuel | 25c | 1,098$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.38 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Toby Samuel | 27c | 1,053$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.98 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Toby Samuel | 23c | 1,049$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.31 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Toby Samuel | 61c | 1,023$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.84 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Raul Brancaccio | 38c | 999.98$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Toby Samuel | 56c | 810.81$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.51 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Raul Brancaccio | 69c | 766.41$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.56 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Toby Samuel | 57c | 717.66$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.51 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Toby Samuel | 62c | 671.09$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.08 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Toby Samuel | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Raul Brancaccio | 41c | 426.77$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.39 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa890…1a32backed Toby Samuel | 65c | 424.07$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.08 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Toby Samuel | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Toby Samuel | 27c | 209$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x214a…408abacked Toby Samuel | 76c | 194.53$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.84 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Toby Samuel | 63c | 187.28$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Raul Brancaccio | 39c | 186.62$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Toby Samuel | 21c | 169.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Toby Samuel | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Toby Samuel | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Toby Samuel | 62c | 147.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.49 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f3…bbf5backed Toby Samuel | 67c | 135.92$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.19 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Toby Samuel | 17c | 124.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 380 | 13.9%53 W · 327 L | -38.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Toby Samuel | 26c | 118.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Raul Brancaccio | 45c | 113.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Raul Brancaccio | 45c | 111.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.46 | 352 | 48.6%171 W · 181 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Raul Brancaccio | 38c | 110$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Toby Samuel | 61c | 109$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Toby Samuel | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 219 | 49.3%108 W · 111 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Toby Samuel | 60c | 85.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…da58backed Toby Samuel | 77c | 77.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…8b08backed Toby Samuel | 75c | 76.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 252 | 65.1%164 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Toby Samuel | 79c | 74.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Toby Samuel | 68c | 74.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Toby Samuel | 24c | 72.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…e46abacked Toby Samuel | 68c | 72.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 100 | 70%70 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Toby Samuel | 36c | 68.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Raul Brancaccio | 53c | 64.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Toby Samuel | 62c | 63.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Raul Brancaccio | 77c | 61.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…efabbacked Raul Brancaccio | 43c | 55.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…8e49backed Raul Brancaccio | 39c | 53.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…789abacked Raul Brancaccio | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Raul Brancaccio | 36c | 46.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Raul Brancaccio | 39c | 43.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Toby Samuel | 41c | 36.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Raul Brancaccio | 38c | 34.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 342 | 42.4%145 W · 197 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…36a3backed Toby Samuel | 72c | 34.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 547 | 44.4%243 W · 304 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Toby Samuel | 72c | 33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed Toby Samuel | 61c | 32.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Raul Brancaccio | 49c | 31.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…e8a1backed Toby Samuel | 76c | 31.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 85 | 75.3%64 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Raul Brancaccio | 60c | 27.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 306 | 72.9%223 W · 83 L | +27.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9a…876bbacked Toby Samuel | 62c | 27.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Raul Brancaccio | 78c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -13.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…f3dbbacked Toby Samuel | 64c | 22.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1b…c69cbacked Raul Brancaccio | 52c | 20.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb90…9c42backed Toby Samuel | 62c | 20.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Toby Samuel | 61c | 20.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…61cabacked Toby Samuel | 72c | 19.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Raul Brancaccio | 77c | 13.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Raul Brancaccio | 78c | 12.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.