TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc7eb…da58

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
176
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 54 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT7846.2%36 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.28
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$8.69
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.74
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+101%+$319.2
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$3.5
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.81
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.52
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$6.68
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.93
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+164.6%+$69.4
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or below on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$14.54
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.3
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.3
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$11.32
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.94
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.52
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$5.92
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.6
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.74
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$6.6
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.04
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$31.73
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.75
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$97.85
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$105
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.67
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.63
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.75
Spread: Scotland (-1.5)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$29.8
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.71
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$48.95
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$18.22
All 20 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Fayha Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$13.29
Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$49.53
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$26.4
FC Seoul vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.07
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$19.5
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)backed Dalian Yingbo FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)backed FC Mito Holly Hock · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+300%+$65.16
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$56.37
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+174.9%+$21.32
Getafe CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+39%+$19.51
Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)backed Levante UD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.35
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.86
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)backed Elche CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.5
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Brentford FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.51
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+102.6%+$89.54
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+140.3%+$24.38
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.33
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
All 4 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesligalast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+54.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.25
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$5.66
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.28
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ostrava: Raul Brancaccio vs Toby Samuelbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.61
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.76
Ostrava: Tom Gentzsch vs George Loffhagenbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.14
All 3 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zhejiang Lions vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.02
Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-13.5)backed Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.