Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe66769890206db50c2f40160d2894eb57d08e412f3749d50601e43141169ab3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Viking FKof Viking FK, Rosenborg BK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Rosenborg BK | 55c | 3,018$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.44 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Viking FK | 45c | 1,723$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.9 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Viking FK | 50c | 1,160$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Rosenborg BK | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Viking FK | 63c | 879.39$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.48 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Viking FK | 47c | 849.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.5 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Rosenborg BK | 50c | 543.26$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.82 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Viking FK | 49c | 465.24$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Rosenborg BK | 55c | 454.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…9ea3backed Viking FK | 50c | 402.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Rosenborg BK | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Viking FK | 48c | 240.94$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.41 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Viking FK | 50c | 200.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.12 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Rosenborg BK | 54c | 192.86$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.14 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Rosenborg BK | 50c | 158.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Viking FK | 46c | 146.96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Rosenborg BK | 52c | 132.03$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Viking FK | 46c | 108.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Viking FK | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…da58backed Rosenborg BK | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Rosenborg BK | 18c | 91.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…9fc3backed Rosenborg BK | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Rosenborg BK | 51c | 77.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Viking FK | 45c | 75.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Viking FK | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Viking FK | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Viking FK | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…25e3backed Viking FK | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Viking FK | 46c | 39.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Rosenborg BK | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae26…e478backed Viking FK | 46c | 35.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a4…31eebacked Viking FK | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…1a0dbacked Rosenborg BK | 53c | 30.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…14b2backed Viking FK | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…73f5backed Viking FK | 51c | 29.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Rosenborg BK | 49c | 29.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…db17backed Viking FK | 46c | 24.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Viking FK | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)Viking FK won
- Viking FK vs. Rosenborg BK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Viking FK vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Viking FK vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Viking FK vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.