TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb7a4…31ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-57%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.01
Phil Foden: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Manchester City FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+90.1%+$72.04
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Chelsea FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+138.3%+$209.94
Will Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Leeds United FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.25
Bruno Fernandes: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
All 19 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$115.22
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Will Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)backed Real Betis Balompié · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+178.9%+$35.78
Will Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$35.16
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+207.2%+$69.75
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.99
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.85
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.28
All 14 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+59.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)backed Heart of Midlothian FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+181.8%+$45.45
Will AFC Ajax vs. PSV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$47.5
Will Livingston FC vs. Aberdeen FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$36.72
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)backed Viking FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)backed Beşiktaş JK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Will Alanyaspor vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.45
Will Molde FK win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.55
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+78.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)backed SE Palmeiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.13
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$39.47
Will Paris FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$22.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.