Champions League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe98f16929b71db44d0837ba8520768d8172589de253165835452e2c71d7fdceb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $617,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $503,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $617,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 628 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 77c | 65,114$50,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,976.22 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 56,326$44,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,301.16 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…b8e0backed Yes | 23c | 50,260$11,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,559.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed No | 77c | 34,469$26,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,927.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 18c | 23,362$4,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,232.93 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 23c | 21,739$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Yes | 23c | 21,739$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 77c | 20,000$15,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.93 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 22c | 19,743$4,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,254.68 | 394 | 43.1%170 W · 224 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes | 18c | 10,805$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.95 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…fcc9backed Yes | 23c | 10,592$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,436.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Yes | 17c | 10,060$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.13 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 23c | 9,164$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.73 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 18c | 8,714$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.62 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 23c | 8,044$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.47 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 23c | 7,826$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Yes | 18c | 7,480$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.42 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…c04bbacked Yes | 28c | 7,085$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 17c | 6,820$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.06 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 8c | 6,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…7699backed Yes | 21c | 6,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68d0…b4dabacked Yes | 23c | 5,435$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 20c | 5,401$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.31 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…afe6backed No | 78c | 5,059$3,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 22c | 5,001$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.17 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked No | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.96 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 19c | 4,737$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89af…4757backed Yes | 0c | 4,592$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 23c | 4,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 23c | 4,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf6…9af0backed Yes | 23c | 4,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 77c | 4,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 7c | 3,916$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.01 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 3,884$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.81 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 79c | 3,659$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.81 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 22c | 3,252$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.17 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 22c | 3,250$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.5 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 30c | 2,968$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 1c | 2,877$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 77c | 2,875$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.23 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…180bbacked Yes | 18c | 2,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 6c | 2,500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Yes | 23c | 2,478$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked Yes | 24c | 2,222$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…457bbacked Yes | 17c | 2,176$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…33c1backed Yes | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf72…6378backed Yes | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 23c | 2,156$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.43 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 17c | 2,122$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.47 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…d10dbacked Yes | 23c | 2,113$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 23c | 2,096$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 74c | 2,009$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.57 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 4c | 2,006$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…3b43backed Yes | 22c | 2,004$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…1570backed Yes | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…1fa9backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…1650backed Yes | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 25c | 1,922$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.39 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 22c | 1,900$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.73 | 433 | 33.5%145 W · 288 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…01d9backed Yes | 23c | 1,787$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Yes | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888c…19f9backed Yes | 22c | 1,692$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c08…3704backed Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 23c | 1,652$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 77c | 1,620$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.14 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 19c | 1,547$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 18c | 1,485$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 77c | 1,447$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.04 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…7910backed Yes | 18c | 1,389$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,342$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6802…da5ebacked No | 78c | 1,333$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed Yes | 23c | 1,333$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.59 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc948…59b7backed Yes | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598a…1bdfbacked Yes | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…53c9backed Yes | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…71d2backed Yes | 23c | 1,298$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf390…3b5fbacked No | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…504fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,248$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 16c | 1,246$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.34 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1143…b69fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,200$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 77c | 1,200$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.99 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,135$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +72%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 78c | 1,115$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.68 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 25c | 1,089$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.5 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,087$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 23c | 1,087$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Yes | 23c | 1,072$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.51 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 23c | 1,055$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.7 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…9452backed Yes | 26c | 1,036$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.67 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,030$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.79 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…3f10backed Yes | 25c | 1,009$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19a…66bbbacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e24…71c3backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?Yes won
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.