TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc19a…66bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Cricket, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 56 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+40.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$450
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$99
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$718.2
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+37%+$135
T20 World Cup: India vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$408.1
International T20 Series: South Africa vs West Indies (Game 2)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$803Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+57.2%+$459.41
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 2)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+42.9%+$149.99
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 2)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+233.3%+$210
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$30.74
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$175.73
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$78.09
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$253.1
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$301
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$39.2
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$42.7
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+402.5%+$320.4
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+66.7%+$680
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+28.2%+$154
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Cavaliers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$104.99
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+76%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+257.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$934Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$4,256.71
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$971Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$571.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+176.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+176.2%+$382.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+133.3%+$58.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+83.1%+$97.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$204
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$210.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.