Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa720a9abaeb9ffc70d8e71bb7c8dab70a534f348b10dd2cdfda3e2469ba455ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $532,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $484,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $532,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 430 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 1c | 39,247$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.16 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 0c | 31,582$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.07 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…10a2backed No | 1c | 16,413$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdb…81d7backed No | 1c | 13,974$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebcd…0995backed No | 70c | 11,756$8,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,190.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 19c | 10,731$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.64 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked No | 0c | 10,266$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c17…83c8backed No | 52c | 10,162$5,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,308.85 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…8f8bbacked No | 0c | 9,029$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 57c | 8,653$4,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,930.61 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…da5bbacked No | 1c | 7,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…0df3backed No | 0c | 7,500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f69…9c7abacked No | 65c | 6,894$4,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,496.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…cab4backed No | 1c | 6,745$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…a1aebacked Yes | 32c | 6,576$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,488.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 4c | 6,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…10b0backed No | 71c | 5,580$3,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,971.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 1c | 5,401$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873b…dd51backed Yes | 46c | 5,366$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,913.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7024…4c4cbacked No | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212c…8e4abacked No | 1c | 4,697$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…d765backed No | 1c | 4,625$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed No | 0c | 4,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed No | 1c | 4,102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 37c | 3,773$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.01 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 34c | 3,643$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.03 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a8…6d0abacked No | 1c | 3,503$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674f…4aa8backed No | 1c | 3,474$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 50c | 3,400$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.31 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 1c | 3,387$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…612ebacked Yes | 53c | 3,381$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.94 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 60c | 3,332$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.02 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 7c | 3,184$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.07 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 29c | 2,975$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.84 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65dd…f6dabacked No | 1c | 2,762$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e4…eff6backed Yes | 35c | 2,600$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.69 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 29c | 2,500$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.03 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked No | 50c | 2,487$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 44c | 2,288$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.98 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 56c | 2,226$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.8 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…0299backed Yes | 42c | 2,048$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.49 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 54c | 1,931$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.46 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.02 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…fcd1backed No | 52c | 1,792$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,736$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.78 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x280e…8b52backed No | 1c | 1,714$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…f3cabacked No | 59c | 1,690$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…5c8fbacked No | 1c | 1,609$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 1,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…cedfbacked No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…819ebacked Yes | 50c | 1,500$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 19c | 1,450$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.42 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 35c | 1,435$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.34 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 36c | 1,352$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.61 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 1c | 1,341$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 158 | 55.1%87 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…6cfdbacked No | 19c | 1,290$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.41 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea85…dd9abacked No | 1c | 1,222$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…35b3backed No | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.76 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +7.5wins | +0.44per pick | 38cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x017d…1290backed Yes | 43c | 1,152$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.98 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff6…8fe1backed Yes | 54c | 1,144$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +186.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc111…0fb0backed No | 1c | 1,128$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 20c | 1,115$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.57 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…72e3backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 54c | 1,108$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.41 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…ebe9backed No | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 69c | 1,084$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.14 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbed…3b22backed No | 72c | 1,068$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…9b59backed No | 66c | 1,060$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 48c | 1,032$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.83 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42d8…ff9bbacked No | 3c | 1,030$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa26…9919backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -60%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fe…f516backed Yes | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked Yes | 32c | 999.99$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.99 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -59%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Yes | 56c | 999.86$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 43c | 989.95$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.78 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…35b5backed Yes | 55c | 983.12$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691b…de7ebacked No | 2c | 981.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Yes | 36c | 974.45$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.81 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Yes | 49c | 908.66$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.66 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked Yes | 51c | 900$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed No | 57c | 897.21$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed No | 66c | 838.71$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.95 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…2682backed No | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…0f7bbacked Yes | 76c | 800$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Yes | 30c | 796.24$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.37 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 55c | 777.11$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.42 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 11c | 756.25$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.4 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b8…c770backed Yes | 39c | 749.96$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.6 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 17c | 733.59$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.15 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked Yes | 44c | 715$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.95 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 6c | 700$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4f…d0f6backed Yes | 35c | 693.22$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…a406backed Yes | 56c | 666.13$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?this page
- Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in August?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.