Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x348dce8652f26cd3526250bbae16f65c55c69b6072598e526e6c2007e71ad1dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $297,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $239,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa9f…0df3backed No | 0c | 43,485$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.26 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714b…d071backed No | 0c | 38,888$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked No | 1c | 20,000$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.5 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -59%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed No | 2c | 16,110$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.58 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked No | 2c | 7,895$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 1c | 7,777$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.27per pick | 33cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 46c | 6,831$3,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,686.76 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed No | 2c | 6,681$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.56 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 55c | 5,999$3,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3405…30edbacked No | 2c | 5,963$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7024…4c4cbacked No | 0c | 5,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 5c | 4,012$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.31 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed No | 2c | 3,542$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed No | 2c | 3,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 6c | 2,332$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 11cpaid | +190.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 6c | 2,332$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57e2…aba6backed No | 1c | 2,137$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked No | 1c | 2,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,886$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.85 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2951…8f9fbacked No | 2c | 1,798$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +307.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 2c | 1,500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…6cfdbacked Yes | 7c | 1,476$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.76 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 2c | 1,468$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07de…c73cbacked No | 2c | 1,311$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…1208backed Yes | 42c | 1,261$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +135.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 35c | 1,243$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.66 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ca…1552backed No | 2c | 1,154$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 20c | 1,125$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.69 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…18d0backed No | 2c | 942.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 59c | 909.47$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.52 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 13c | 801.45$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.43 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee4…481fbacked No | 61c | 715.34$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed No | 4c | 697.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 50c | 663.29$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.25 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 7c | 651.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.47 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked No | 3c | 650.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 7c | 615$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.16 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 28c | 587.56$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.74 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed No | 68c | 579.99$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.64 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 49c | 526$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.8 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0d…9989backed No | 79c | 506.51$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 9c | 500$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…78d1backed No | 66c | 378.49$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed Yes | 7c | 373.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.44 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6e…1571backed No | 29c | 360.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…612ebacked Yes | 39c | 299.97$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.68 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 57c | 293.76$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.71 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 263.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 45c | 263$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.13 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe282…a494backed Yes | 39c | 254.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked No | 60c | 247$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.86 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…6d0dbacked Yes | 56c | 229.58$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f82cbacked Yes | 47c | 211.56$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +189.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.47 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 14c | 193.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.3 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…fd25backed Yes | 47c | 187.78$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc9…1ec7backed Yes | 51c | 180$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe535…96d3backed Yes | 60c | 165.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…7a90backed Yes | 61c | 162.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 7c | 160.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.87 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 75c | 151.78$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…20ccbacked No | 66c | 151.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed No | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4f…d0f6backed Yes | 21c | 145.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 74c | 141.38$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.53 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5734…f13abacked No | 76c | 140.79$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 56c | 128.39$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…e386backed Yes | 66c | 120.41$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fb…b892backed No | 77c | 114.63$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…edb9backed Yes | 38c | 111.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 38c | 108.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.07 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…566bbacked No | 60c | 100.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…6442backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ce…5975backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x493c…a430backed No | 60c | 99.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 23c | 86.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.57 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed No | 42c | 83.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 42c | 81.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 171 | 22.2%38 W · 133 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 113 | 22.1%25 W · 88 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…9831backed No | 51c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x107d…d49fbacked No | 22c | 63.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 45c | 63.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d47…9101backed No | 63c | 63.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…cab4backed No | 63c | 63.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 57c | 62.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…cb2dbacked Yes | 55c | 61.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 63c | 61.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…97bfbacked No | 53c | 57.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2421…9d3cbacked Yes | 35c | 50.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fe…0fa6backed No | 59c | 50.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Yes | 70c | 40.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…649abacked No | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…981bbacked Yes | 52c | 35.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…b14cbacked Yes | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…73acbacked Yes | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…015dbacked Yes | 59c | 33.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…b09dbacked Yes | 61c | 32.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in August?this page
- Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August?No won
- Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.