TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb02e…25e5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
337
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10928.4%31 W · 78 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 109 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $160–165 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$18.54
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $255–260 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Opendoor reach $11.75 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13.84
Will Opendoor reach $9.75 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$74.99
Will Apple dip to $264 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+374.4%+$50.58
Will Rocket Lab reach $76 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$71.28
Will Netflix dip to $101.50 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+27.8%+$69.81
Will Rocket Lab reach $68 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+252.6%+$303.84
Will Google dip to $270 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+220.5%+$102.92
Will Airbnb dip to $110 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$77.84
Will Amazon dip to $208 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25.77
Will Amazon reach $260 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+167.5%+$81.4
Will Airbnb reach $150 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Airbnb reach $128 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+570.7%+$291.29
Will Airbnb dip to $104 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$33.6
Will NVIDIA reach $224 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will Palantir reach $210 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$46.51
Will Palantir reach $216 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+284.6%+$37
Will Microsoft reach $608 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20.31
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $198 end of November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.07
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $208 end of November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+26.6%+$12.15
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $190 end of November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$27.7
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $194 end of November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.62
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $196 end of November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$22.11
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $204 end of November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.06
Showing 25 of 109 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST4810.4%5 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-38.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. national debt hit $39 trillion in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.11
Will anyone be charged for insider trading Trump tariff announcements?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.3
Will TikTok be banned in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.07
US congress stock trading ban in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.01
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+45%+$23.64
Epstein disclosure bill/resolution enacted in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+1,306.3%+$265.36
Will no house vote on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill occur by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$40.97
Will between 260 and 269 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$18.26
Will between 270 and 279 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$16.64
Will between 255 and 259 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$19.15
Will between 250 and 254 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$14.11
Will between 245 and 249 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$29.58
Will between 235 and 239 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$17.64
Will between 240 and 244 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.05
Will Barack Obama be named in the Epstein survivors' list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.16
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.44
Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.07
Will courts block Trump's 100k H1b by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.07
Will Trump’s approval rating be ≥45.5% on September 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.59
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.83
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST3116.1%5 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,625Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+26.5%+$431.27
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$768Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+258.1%+$1,981.42
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$43.02
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$539.73
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,163Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+33.8%+$1,068.98
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$259.56
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Israeli troops enter Damascus by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.79
Israel strikes Iran by October 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.06
Will Israel strike Yemen on October 1 ET?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Another Israel military action against Qatar by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.8
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 29 ET?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 28 ET?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Israel strike Yemen onSeptember 27 ET?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
Syria strikes Israel by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.33
Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.19
Syria strikes Israel by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.22
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$144.79
Houthi strike on Israel before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.46
Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.14
Will Israel strike Syria on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.6
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.37
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.1
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,332.24
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$152.87
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST277.4%2 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win between 20% and 22% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Evelyn Matthei win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$14.45
Will Franco Parisi win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$12.66
Will Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15.24
Will Maurice Kamto win the Cameroon Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.25
Will Billy Kelleher win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.28
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.76
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.26
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.25
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.45
Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.77
Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.04
Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.96
Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.08
Will Ap win the second most seats in the Norway election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.98
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.09
Will another person win the Bolivian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+1,150%+$119.6
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.61
Will Quiroga and Rodríguez advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.99
Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Bolivia Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.04
North Korea missile test by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.98
25% South Korea tariff in effect by August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+77.1%+$126.02
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.63
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT220%0 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.71
Will Nikita Bier be the next CEO of X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.89
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$74.02
Will Tesla acquire xAI in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.9
Will Caitlin Clark be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$52.17
Will a U.S. government shutdown be the #1 searched news on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11.51
Will Elon Musk be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$16.08
Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$26.13
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15.28
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.27
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.27
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.08
Will Apple launch a Glasses/Headset on September 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.88
Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.4
Will GPT-5 be released on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.29
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.56
OpenAI browser in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.84
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.3
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.3
All 22 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.87
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$29.48
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.65
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.67
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.14
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.37
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.57
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.29
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+1,390.5%+$348.44
Will Trump and Putin hug on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.93
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for less than 2 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.26
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.49
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+95.9%+$49.36
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.15
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.87
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick13cpaid+59.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.83
Jerome Powell federally charged in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.73
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$862Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+371.6%+$3,202.72
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$70
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,072Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+100.3%+$2,078.25
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.02
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,372Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+117.8%+$2,794.28
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.54
Will Trump try to fire Powell by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.7
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.13
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$6,465Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,465.12
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$8,992Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,992.13
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+1,243.5%+$871.78
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Sep 11, 2025, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-45.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2025 August second hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.35
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 75-76°F on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.11
Will the highest temperature in London be between 87-88°F on August 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.94
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 79-80°F on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+43.1%+$121
Will the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$160.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+75.7%+$273.2
Will the highest temperature in London be between 78-79°F on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.33
Will the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+39%+$38.13
Will the highest temperature in London be between 74-75°F on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.89
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+45%+$12.27
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-80.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.31
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.37
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.78
Will Zohran Mamdani win 4 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+98%+$19.8
Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19.86
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$259.82
Will Cuomo x Mamdani debate five times or more before election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Cuomo x Mamdani debate before election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.84
Will Andrew Cuomo drop out first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.13
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2025, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+101.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-51.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-51.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,590
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,377.72
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$440.35
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Farcaster airdrop in Q3 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.58
Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Washington change name to "Redskins" in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.