Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Zohran Mamdani win 4 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55aa91f4e9c255aecbb575377d6806062329fc081bdd92a3a6bb7ef5436b3de3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $242,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x036e…9276backed No | 11c | 16,266$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.23 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 59c | 3,420$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.74 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac80…97b1backed Yes | 75c | 2,440$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 33c | 2,259$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.86 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 59c | 1,972$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.91 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +103%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 59c | 1,531$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.97 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked Yes | 69c | 885.83$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.73 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…a8d5backed Yes | 75c | 884.86$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a4…c8a2backed Yes | 62c | 834.47$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 68c | 756$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.92 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d75…78b9backed Yes | 69c | 636.11$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.11 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 31c | 483.53$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.28 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 69c | 466.79$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.04 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b8…83b9backed Yes | 60c | 458$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3327…11debacked Yes | 71c | 403$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.39 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 29c | 401.43$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.13 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked Yes | 67c | 365.91$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.82 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…05b5backed Yes | 72c | 361.11$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…c3e2backed Yes | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 25c | 300$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked Yes | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 77c | 285.9$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3da…d974backed No | 40c | 268.88$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.72 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f76…e72bbacked Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…87a4backed Yes | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…3df6backed Yes | 77c | 230.9$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 60c | 184.69$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…30fabacked Yes | 71c | 177.94$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 71c | 176.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 44c | 167.81$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 53c | 145.89$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…24debacked Yes | 77c | 145$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…0139backed Yes | 71c | 139.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 27c | 129$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 37c | 123.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 87 | 18.4%16 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed No | 47c | 117$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a7…438dbacked Yes | 54c | 105.1$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 29c | 101.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a0…18b6backed No | 20c | 101.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 71c | 101$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7f…be25backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…bb4abacked Yes | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2783…8321backed Yes | 72c | 89.32$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 47c | 86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 69c | 80.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8219…f1fabacked No | 39c | 74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 47c | 69.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…4cc4backed Yes | 70c | 62.26$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445a…9465backed Yes | 66c | 61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92a3…4a7dbacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Yes | 78c | 45.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…649cbacked No | 30c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.28per pick | 34cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd459…5647backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 44c | 36.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x111b…bad9backed Yes | 54c | 35.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…1531backed No | 46c | 30.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabad…2e9ebacked Yes | 76c | 29.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86aa…a85bbacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 65c | 20.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e6…aa6cbacked Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8a…a3edbacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zohran Mamdani win 4 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?this page
- Will Zohran Mamdani win 0 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win 1 borough in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win 2 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win 3 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani win all 5 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.