TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1ff7…87a4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
205
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT4242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$843Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$274.41
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.93
Claude 4.7 released by April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.99
Claude 4.7 released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.98
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.49
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.57
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.19
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$135.95
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+108.7%+$28.65
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.9%+$18.16
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,231Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.5%+$325.71
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$926Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+26%+$240.23
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$23.38
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+63.9%+$117
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$46.7
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$52.47
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+29.3%+$136
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$185
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$571Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+57.6%+$329
Will Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+61.3%+$45.6
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$94
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$196.45
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4141.5%17 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-34.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$196
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$935Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$935.2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$152
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$210
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,824Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,823.55
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,831Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,830.98
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$630
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,741Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$1,152.01
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$87
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$416
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$156
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$64
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Foreign intervention in Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46.2%+$158
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Will Israel strike Yemen 0 times by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$40.31
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.95
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST2642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+37%+$54
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$130.09
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$303.2
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+31.6%+$48
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+150%+$120
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$118.09
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
Will no vote occur on a new funding bill by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.68
Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the next funding bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$25.8
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$33.99
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+40.5%+$117.94
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.73
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.94
Will Trump say "Aussie" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$48
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.8
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.01
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+142.4%+$192.27
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.7
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.01
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.32
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$118.98
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.09
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.14
Will Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$33
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$178
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+61.9%+$111.47
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+254.6%+$71.8
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12.18
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+72.4%+$84
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+72.4%+$84
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+124.7%+$55.5
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.02
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+74.3%+$226.58
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Motoristé get between 7% and 9% of the vote in the Czech election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$94.06
Will turnout be between 63% and 66% in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will turnout be between 66% and 69% in the Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+38.1%+$165.4
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-56.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$105.93
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.93
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$423.77
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.4%+$45
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$116.89
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.81
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.7
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$871Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.1%+$253.74
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.4
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+37%+$107.99
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+31.6%+$12
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.4
All 16 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-63.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-65.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-67.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-44.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+82.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$52.5
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+138.1%+$116
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $290 before 2026??backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$59.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$801Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$801.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.