Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda8ebb9d7998b0e37f912b78d8f71a9e36b8a8b5b2afff4bb1f8106e29ae0604
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,037,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,709,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,037,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 595 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 15c | 546,283$84,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,145.09 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 14c | 493,616$69,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,948.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…6ef7backed Yes | 19c | 107,395$20,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,904.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc86d…d3aebacked Yes | 16c | 102,995$16,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,500.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 15c | 100,000$14,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,706.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac8…eb85backed Yes | 16c | 100,000$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd364…d498backed Yes | 14c | 92,266$13,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,147.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34af…3c38backed Yes | 1c | 90,416$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…2c1fbacked Yes | 18c | 83,431$15,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,017.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0371…92bbbacked Yes | 17c | 69,508$11,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,816.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…de17backed Yes | 14c | 69,244$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf495…7c12backed Yes | 14c | 68,166$9,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,773.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Yes | 15c | 67,471$10,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,118.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…9e5bbacked Yes | 12c | 61,681$7,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,189.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 15c | 60,147$8,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,969.94 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0e…434ebacked Yes | 17c | 50,000$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Yes | 13c | 49,317$6,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,550.36 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 14c | 43,678$6,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,268.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…74b1backed Yes | 16c | 43,607$7,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,152.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed Yes | 16c | 38,365$6,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,323.45 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked Yes | 18c | 35,211$6,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,218 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Yes | 15c | 33,333$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1f…4fccbacked Yes | 3c | 33,287$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 15c | 31,292$4,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,731.9 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c1…0cfabacked Yes | 16c | 30,546$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb37…2bf1backed Yes | 17c | 30,000$5,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,004.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…c64fbacked Yes | 17c | 29,397$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 19c | 28,999$5,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,628.32 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 18c | 28,613$5,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,122.81 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 8c | 28,435$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.22 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 12c | 27,876$3,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,435.98 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…0a80backed Yes | 9c | 26,787$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 19c | 25,194$4,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,808.69 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa999…203cbacked Yes | 13c | 24,132$3,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,231.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aac…1b36backed Yes | 14c | 22,877$3,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,202.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 80c | 22,222$17,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,444.4 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed No | 79c | 22,222$17,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,666.62 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 16c | 21,075$3,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,338.45 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 14c | 21,066$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.97 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf330…f779backed Yes | 21c | 20,000$4,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,172.79 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 18c | 19,899$3,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,589.89 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c1…54b0backed Yes | 15c | 18,801$2,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862.87 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…6104backed Yes | 21c | 18,150$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed Yes | 9c | 16,721$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.86 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -76%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…87d0backed Yes | 15c | 15,068$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…46e5backed Yes | 16c | 14,922$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…7771backed Yes | 11c | 14,496$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…100cbacked Yes | 19c | 13,574$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…0a8fbacked Yes | 19c | 13,532$2,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…5875backed Yes | 18c | 13,216$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb21…51bebacked Yes | 10c | 13,010$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe455…9e9ebacked Yes | 11c | 11,005$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 15c | 10,970$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.5 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Yes | 18c | 10,862$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 18c | 10,497$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.48 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602f…d46abacked Yes | 20c | 10,419$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee0…589bbacked Yes | 14c | 10,322$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe318…e149backed Yes | 15c | 10,165$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4893…2465backed Yes | 20c | 10,041$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed Yes | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -53%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 17c | 10,000$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x131b…4d0ebacked Yes | 13c | 9,620$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…e8b8backed Yes | 20c | 9,426$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e84…a0ccbacked Yes | 11c | 9,058$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…dfefbacked Yes | 20c | 8,939$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa575…ad6fbacked Yes | 2c | 8,782$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 4c | 8,434$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d61…6f1abacked Yes | 16c | 8,193$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…72b0backed Yes | 17c | 8,170$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 18c | 8,057$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.57 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 9c | 7,718$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.62 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…3e22backed Yes | 15c | 7,213$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744d…5782backed Yes | 15c | 7,182$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…4291backed Yes | 14c | 7,143$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0a…c642backed Yes | 9c | 7,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…28d5backed Yes | 15c | 6,933$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed Yes | 15c | 6,799$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.67 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 12c | 6,737$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791f…c09dbacked Yes | 15c | 6,268$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…5418backed No | 80c | 6,250$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 15c | 6,194$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Yes | 13c | 6,146$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f8…c69ebacked Yes | 14c | 5,851$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Yes | 13c | 5,800$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.5 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…5827backed Yes | 19c | 5,766$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.71 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab4…c3bdbacked Yes | 18c | 5,556$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…63ebbacked Yes | 18c | 5,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b7…2604backed Yes | 16c | 5,352$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Yes | 19c | 5,346$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44d…0cd9backed Yes | 19c | 5,316$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 16c | 5,113$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.39 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 10c | 5,092$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.24 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c9…b44ebacked Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49d2…59f7backed Yes | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac80…97b1backed No | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…5016backed Yes | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d5…1277backed Yes | 16c | 4,981$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f1…b9f4backed Yes | 20c | 4,837$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…9800backed Yes | 22c | 4,550$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025this page
- Will Bill Spadea win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025No won
- Will Josh Gottheimer win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025No won
- Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Yes won
- Will Ras Baraka win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.