TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf330…f779

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2536%9 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Bluesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Sharks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+62.7%+$16.74
Islanders vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$31.9
Kraken vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9.82
Jets vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+112.8%+$15.79
Sharks vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Islanders vs. Blackhawksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+82.8%+$24.84
Flames vs. Wildbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Oilers vs. Krakenbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$264.43
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+794.1%+$1,588.21
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$185.97
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Jets vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+87.5%+$45.67
Canadiens vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+58.7%+$19.5
Lightning vs. Blackhawksbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+96.1%+$20.05
Oilers vs. Canucksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$19.9
All 25 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.01
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$6.9
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$2,001.37
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,627Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,627.08
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16,384Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+52.8%+$8,646.7
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,989Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,988.83
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$661Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$841.9
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,058.4
Will the New Democratic Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.62
Will Bloc Québécois win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.35
Will the Conservative Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,763Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+303.6%+$5,353.16
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$348.33
Canada election called before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+54.8%+$35.9
Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+25%+$17.88
Will the Liberals win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$90.25
Will the New Democrats win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+96.3%+$335.73
Will Trudeau resign by Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Trudeau resign Today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.1
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-49.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.04
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$729Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$728.61
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$469.72
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,219Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,081
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$421.62
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,385Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,561.86
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,032.17
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,477Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,476.94
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$792Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$198.04
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$79.74
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.1
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.99
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+223.5%+$9,219.29
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,561Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+111.2%+$2,847.81
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$232.52
Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+124.9%+$320.06
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,436Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,436.14
Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,092Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,091.7
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+88.9%+$1,778.84
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,537Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+368.3%+$9,343.49
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,502Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,501.79
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+57%+$39.98
Will Russia recapture Sudzha by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+174%+$449.99
Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$120
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-55.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$437.38
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+34.7%+$3,504.06
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+122.2%+$1,466.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+49.3%+$17.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,529Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,528.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5 be released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Malibu by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$178.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dvalishvili vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Nurmagomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$17.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.