NHL · resolved market
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x604e0a2c994985f63ca96608b76018319b55c784dc483c25c6092b3503500d4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $830,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $475,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $830,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7327…151abacked Yes | 3c | 90,299$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.81 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 1c | 63,987$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.39 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yes | 0c | 62,401$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes | 1c | 37,453$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.3 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 28,000$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Yes | 1c | 22,608$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.63 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 9,142$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 53 | 0%0 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 4c | 6,735$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.29 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes | 1c | 5,432$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200d…e2fcbacked Yes | 3c | 4,945$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…2e4dbacked Yes | 0c | 4,666$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 4,314$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…1f03backed Yes | 6c | 4,195$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 2c | 3,949$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 3c | 3,500$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.76 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…dfa1backed Yes | 7c | 3,253$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b93…8eb3backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…628ebacked Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…fe12backed Yes | 3c | 2,151$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x665f…9a23backed Yes | 2c | 2,105$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5c56backed Yes | 1c | 2,037$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 1c | 1,979$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…8ed2backed Yes | 7c | 1,906$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…22dbbacked Yes | 5c | 1,800$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 1,740$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0d…66b4backed Yes | 2c | 1,510$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…5eaabacked Yes | 7c | 1,482$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 1,433$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5387…5baabacked Yes | 2c | 1,294$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f4…1e3dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,237$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.21 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fd…8b3ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,219$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…b571backed Yes | 2c | 1,188$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7206…7223backed Yes | 2c | 1,136$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…8477backed Yes | 5c | 1,105$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,064$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb064…a6e0backed Yes | 2c | 1,046$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…757abacked Yes | 6c | 1,029$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992c…659abacked Yes | 2c | 1,015$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c2…decebacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…37f0backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…62e0backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x943f…ddfbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6704…baa4backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…14a7backed Yes | 6c | 999.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 6c | 999$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes | 1c | 969.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a11…7b81backed Yes | 2c | 852.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3afc…60e0backed Yes | 2c | 818.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…65eebacked Yes | 3c | 811.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 5c | 807.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 2c | 741.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…02ffbacked Yes | 2c | 727.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…44a9backed Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 5c | 399.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf330…f779backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 6c | 255$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…048abacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…8d62backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89d…b80ebacked Yes | 7c | 211.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 5c | 206.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…f84abacked Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30cd…f9f0backed Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93c7…3ac5backed Yes | 6c | 174$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…2f10backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup?this page
- Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Boston Bruins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes won
- Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Nashville Predators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Islanders win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Utah Hockey Club win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.