TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,208,233
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,774,384

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,208,233 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,440 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbb06…d915backed Yes53c283,812$149,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149,705.13560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8679…4659backed No47c243,027$115,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127,836.681758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked No77c180,027$138,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,384.061258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Yes54c175,807$94,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94,187.438749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7988…9619backed Yes20c117,764$23,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,002.352334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked No47c104,317$49,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,766.5316645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes33c99,612$32,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,907.8511441.2%47 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes1c98,266$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.7533837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Yes15c94,465$13,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,977.213158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+51.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No79c88,564$69,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,020.5744848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed Yes36c87,000$30,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,992.21154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed7f…4fc0backed Yes53c80,872$43,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-53.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Yes24c73,760$17,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,566.034139%16 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6919…5effbacked Yes27c67,839$18,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,155.643040%12 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed No45c67,514$30,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,043.6331546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Yes50c64,700$32,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,271.1336242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed No48c60,759$29,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,353.514057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3340…339cbacked Yes11c56,000$6,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,16010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x062f…63b4backed Yes10c55,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed03…e8cabacked Yes8c54,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,32010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes26c44,600$11,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,555.8815431.8%49 W · 105 L-12.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8b0…6815backed Yes47c41,852$19,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,470.481656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes30c38,057$11,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,357.1840%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Yes32c36,225$11,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,499.4670249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes49c34,633$16,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,824.621216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Yes67c32,698$21,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,927.624457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked No49c30,738$14,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,738.86650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes21c30,636$6,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,586.352941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked No44c30,119$13,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,977.6930551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes54c30,100$16,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,143.61,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5f4…bc4fbacked Yes54c28,797$15,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,648.2530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No55c28,402$15,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,701.1710745.8%49 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked No51c27,642$14,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,424.315164.7%33 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01fb…208ebacked Yes12c27,605$3,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,179.45333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Yes6c24,899$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,578.697532%24 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Yes65c23,993$15,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,581.8913655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes48c23,423$11,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,320.341580%12 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes41c21,965$9,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,025.111060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked No51c21,901$11,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,788.3411445.6%52 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes11c21,748$2,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,436.472934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeffa…928abacked Yes12c21,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,520450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Yes11c19,699$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.881662.5%10 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.29per pick34cpaid+85.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Yes41c18,852$7,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,782.0617448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked No46c16,740$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,039.411040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes53c16,165$8,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,606.597352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed No64c16,000$10,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,737.9921750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes23c15,922$3,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,591.51922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+94.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b35…cdb5backed Yes12c14,741$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,754.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3479…f2bdbacked Yes27c14,017$3,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,792.071225%3 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-51%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf9…f6eabacked Yes37c14,005$5,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,15010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes55c13,707$7,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,521.88825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-65.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes31c11,616$3,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,624.3735154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f1e…f334backed Yes3c11,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300100%0 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No45c10,943$4,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,973.189251.1%47 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes39c10,635$4,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,117.692,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Yes28c10,241$2,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,867.8520147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes0c10,001$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6481846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3bbb…3607backed Yes54c10,000$5,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,409.991850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Yes50c9,440$4,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,757.4783652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Yes48c9,376$4,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,537.9414538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x768f…d08cbacked Yes19c9,328$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,772.2430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00a6…9343backed Yes18c9,287$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.17633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes54c9,205$4,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,958.726344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes37c8,842$3,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,235.6325340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b02…393ebacked Yes21c8,804$1,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,826.162846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8885…fb53backed Yes30c8,342$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Yes32c8,252$2,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,667.813551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Yes55c8,000$4,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,36875251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac9…9678backed Yes53c7,722$4,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,054.084847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Yes10c7,500$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.994742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa34d…67fdbacked Yes14c7,290$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+41.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Yes7c7,182$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.9613158.8%77 W · 54 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes5c6,900$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.53313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ca…e8d0backed Yes14c6,845$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.966126.2%16 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71ca…3501backed Yes62c6,841$4,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,245.11540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes24c6,740$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6502445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked No47c6,731$3,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,567.4310451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Yes62c6,722$4,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,176.7930%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35f0…d29ebacked Yes30c6,610$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bfa…97efbacked Yes23c6,606$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No62c6,554$4,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,475.8911141.4%46 W · 65 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa39…822ebacked Yes4c6,543$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.251020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid+26.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes11c6,417$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.342611.5%3 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-74.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98ec…7cd3backed Yes23c6,000$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3551822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-65%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6dc9…253bbacked Yes53c5,915$3,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,138.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf30b…09a9backed Yes19c5,796$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes54c5,525$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0005844.8%26 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa93…afc1backed Yes28c5,448$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.132330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-45.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee46…bff8backed Yes30c5,385$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,61020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No39c5,250$2,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,186.071464.3%9 W · 5 L+4.9wins+0.35per pick29cpaid+168.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x047b…ef6fbacked Yes32c5,143$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,623.631656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes32c5,059$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.0322946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8011…e98ebacked No55c5,016$2,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,260.79863.3%62 W · 36 L+13.2wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes9c5,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.941811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-51.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes52c5,000$2,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,584.9939752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Yes20c4,878$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00027958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes17c4,872$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.866613.6%9 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-75.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes12c4,790$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.6538445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d6e…044bbacked Yes29c4,607$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x348a…9dd0backed Yes54c4,557$2,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,471.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.