TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,426,385
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,341,612

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,426,385 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes0c846,080$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.08392.6%1 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-96%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c573,024$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,491.783116.1%5 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-65.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes1c528,056$3,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,269.283225%8 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-38.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x170c…345fbacked Yes1c250,380$2,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,42410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e7…a343backed Yes0c196,511$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.54130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes0c174,000$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656230%0 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes1c152,779$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.24313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x463e…664ebacked Yes0c136,717$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.18140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e2…6cbcbacked Yes0c108,190$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0384…4fe6backed Yes2c82,915$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,861.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c79,273$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.36440%0 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c62,241$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.27530%0 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1c3…04e2backed Yes1c56,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cc8…8e15backed Yes0c49,850$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c48,974$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.91942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-38.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc35…75bdbacked Yes0c46,000$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56b2…ef44backed Yes0c46,000$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes1c45,445$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2923…e3dcbacked Yes0c42,500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f3…7709backed Yes1c27,400$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3566…f804backed Yes0c26,670$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0a9…abf3backed Yes1c25,800$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb91a…4007backed Yes0c25,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa949…4231backed Yes1c24,800$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa19f…08dbbacked Yes1c24,800$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0780…0ce0backed Yes1c24,799$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2acb…21bcbacked Yes1c24,799$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2776…81f1backed Yes1c24,799$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc76…6862backed Yes1c24,799$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4b9…b097backed Yes1c24,799$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bd…b2f0backed Yes1c24,799$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc61…eb02backed Yes1c24,798$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1c9…c58ebacked Yes1c24,643$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9e2…0475backed Yes1c24,412$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3d5…0535backed Yes1c24,412$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d85…6ef2backed Yes1c24,412$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c4…0a9bbacked Yes1c24,411$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eac…1bd4backed Yes1c24,405$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5f6…dab4backed Yes1c24,405$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c71…d0fdbacked Yes1c24,405$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe122…bf00backed Yes1c24,405$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e63…be51backed Yes0c23,514$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc2b…ef10backed Yes1c22,575$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d4b…559cbacked Yes0c22,017$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31df…0465backed Yes0c22,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9747…8bd6backed Yes0c22,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67fa…5f52backed Yes1c21,788$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6ae…b598backed Yes1c21,574$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1f5…3905backed Yes1c21,186$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8a…c2a5backed Yes1c21,186$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf239…aec7backed Yes1c21,180$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x106a…f01bbacked Yes1c20,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28df…925cbacked Yes1c19,412$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc2f…271bbacked Yes0c19,250$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9318…fb11backed Yes1c18,629$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2778…ed18backed Yes1c18,623$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb396…b35bbacked Yes1c18,540$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ec…8524backed Yes1c18,535$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f49…f02cbacked Yes1c18,535$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa33d…792ebacked Yes1c18,534$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dea…9269backed Yes1c18,439$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2525…5c92backed Yes1c18,350$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e7f…82a9backed Yes1c16,559$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1c…bf7dbacked Yes1c16,559$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c77…48ebbacked Yes1c16,554$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x714b…0b45backed Yes1c16,554$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa31…1c4abacked Yes1c16,470$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1981…ace5backed Yes1c16,470$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dbc…5642backed Yes1c16,465$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5646…8d7cbacked Yes1c16,465$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a31…0899backed Yes1c16,385$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd62c…444abacked Yes1c16,385$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5919…1395backed Yes1c16,385$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x597a…9429backed Yes1c16,385$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c1a…f703backed Yes1c16,385$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a8d…00dcbacked Yes1c16,385$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e49…68ddbacked Yes1c16,385$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2480…26f4backed Yes1c16,385$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa820…7d0bbacked Yes1c16,385$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x801c…7e6bbacked Yes1c16,385$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad23…2d01backed Yes1c16,385$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c7…ea10backed Yes1c16,385$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9af…84febacked Yes1c16,385$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8210…0cf3backed Yes1c16,385$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x676d…e4b8backed Yes1c16,385$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3d8…2741backed Yes1c16,385$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebf…a6aabacked Yes1c16,378$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d7…e20abacked Yes1c16,378$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec9…3ac0backed Yes1c16,378$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x759a…2f4cbacked Yes1c16,280$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69d9…a52bbacked Yes0c16,236$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa376…7d69backed Yes1c14,485$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23a0…4ee4backed Yes1c14,396$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd817…bd53backed Yes1c14,338$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f9…49febacked Yes1c14,338$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8628…7c30backed Yes1c14,338$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdddd…f0d8backed Yes1c14,331$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa666…b655backed Yes1c14,325$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77fe…9461backed Yes1c13,421$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2810…6b03backed Yes0c12,713$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.