NHL · resolved market

Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a5a0289c93118833ee682065e6935ded62984992f97fd5a59b4d2271214282d

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 30, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,418,830
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,990,814

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,418,830 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 407 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8679…4659backed Yes	22c	185,622$41,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,288.33	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+2.8wins	+0.17per pick	42cpaid	+19%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Yes	5c	109,766$6,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,031.62	75	32%24 W · 51 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	0%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes	18c	72,027$12,771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,770.84	114	41.2%47 W · 67 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-26%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4344…caefbacked Yes	13c	66,140$8,813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,813.25	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16a0…05a6backed Yes	21c	63,000$13,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,041	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15bb…dcb0backed No	79c	63,000$49,959 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,041	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c1d…868cbacked Yes	16c	60,000$9,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,720	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9bc…532dbacked Yes	17c	60,000$9,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,900	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccd0…dc52backed Yes	13c	57,000$7,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,410	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f47…6fdebacked Yes	13c	57,000$7,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,410	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61e…ac6ebacked Yes	11c	56,000$6,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,160	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Yes	10c	42,039$4,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,134.15	216	52.3%113 W · 103 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Yes	10c	30,000$2,912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,912.05	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+4.6wins	+0.29per pick	34cpaid	+85.8%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x93fc…34b6backed Yes	24c	30,000$7,112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,111.94	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.24per pick	44cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	14c	24,992$3,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,399.49	154	31.8%49 W · 105 L	-12.4wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Yes	16c	21,253$3,467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,467.45	362	42%152 W · 210 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes	15c	21,178$3,088 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,088	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.10per pick	13cpaid	+94.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb014…b3fabacked Yes	7c	20,775$1,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,485.25	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+48.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	11c	19,172$2,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,185.7	111	41.4%46 W · 65 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes	12c	15,957$1,915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,914.54	1,891	52.4%991 W · 900 L	+36.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	16c	14,997$2,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,439.88	2,314	46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes	10c	14,018$1,388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,388.08	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-75.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes	9c	12,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	+24%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes	16c	11,927$1,869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,869.06	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x047b…ef6fbacked No	77c	7,330$5,677 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,653.36	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Yes	22c	6,543$1,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,430.5	279	58.8%164 W · 115 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes	11c	6,501$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$733.73	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e8…a7bdbacked Yes	14c	6,488$906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$905.69	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes	13c	6,360$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$797.64	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a91…65a6backed Yes	2c	5,810$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.8	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes	8c	5,209$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.13	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe30e…df18backed Yes	6c	5,168$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.43	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	20cpaid	-86.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	14c	4,723$653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$653.34	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-91.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98ec…7cd3backed Yes	20c	4,680$959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$959.11	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-2.5wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-65%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes	5c	4,564$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.32	618	48.1%297 W · 321 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes	0c	4,124$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.49	53	0%0 W · 53 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes	24c	4,000$964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$964	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf0…6215backed Yes	11c	3,800$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.98	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b42…20a1backed Yes	14c	3,749$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes	14c	3,591$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.31	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…fbdcbacked Yes	11c	3,559$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.07	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x252b…8400backed Yes	7c	3,496$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.16	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa117…1aa9backed Yes	7c	3,178$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.91	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3479…f2bdbacked Yes	20c	3,073$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$614.65	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-51%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86ad…344cbacked Yes	27c	3,010$814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$813.63	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	17cpaid	+177.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee06…f8b1backed Yes	9c	2,621$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.4	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	2c	2,404$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.69	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30e9…6826backed Yes	23c	2,213$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb8…9231backed Yes	10c	2,206$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.7	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	12c	2,180$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.66	1,441	49.2%709 W · 732 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbcbe…ee8dbacked Yes	4c	2,179$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.21	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Yes	10c	2,173$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213	600	42.8%257 W · 343 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b5b…6fa2backed Yes	12c	2,171$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0ac9…9678backed Yes	11c	2,103$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.28	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd785…f5b9backed Yes	5c	2,078$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes	8c	2,050$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.81	818	46%376 W · 442 L	+4.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc7d4…ad20backed Yes	26c	2,003$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-4.0wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes	11c	1,902$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.67	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f1e…f334backed Yes	5c	1,868$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc578…fab0backed Yes	16c	1,861$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes	7c	1,820$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.4	46	50%23 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7948…9917backed Yes	22c	1,812$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.16	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes	15c	1,747$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.45	68	50%34 W · 34 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda47…f40abacked No	76c	1,722$1,313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.61	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	60cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	19c	1,682$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.68	607	41%249 W · 358 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dae…64fabacked Yes	9c	1,617$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5d…cc80backed Yes	7c	1,562$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…176fbacked Yes	12c	1,510$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x28b9…c0aebacked Yes	12c	1,455$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x563c…97e3backed Yes	11c	1,434$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.76	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.25per pick	42cpaid	+16%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes	15c	1,430$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.65	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6641…4a1abacked Yes	14c	1,429$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70f4…1e3dbacked Yes	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2c4…a40abacked Yes	15c	1,426$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5740…b146backed Yes	12c	1,401$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.14	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes	19c	1,383$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.1	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b11…2724backed Yes	11c	1,359$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.45	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3498…1533backed Yes	4c	1,220$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	39	59%23 W · 16 L	+8.2wins	+0.21per pick	38cpaid	+46%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Yes	9c	1,200$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	76	48.7%37 W · 39 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56da…8529backed Yes	12c	1,146$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.53	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ee…1e9ebacked Yes	12c	1,079$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.48	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc32…3290backed Yes	12c	1,074$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.83	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes	16c	1,065$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.08	148	44.6%66 W · 82 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a3d…8322backed No	79c	1,041$824 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.36	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+42.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf69c…e43dbacked Yes	29c	1,024$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.01	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc69d…1262backed Yes	7c	1,012$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.85	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x542c…f12bbacked Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.27per pick	7cpaid	+376.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3798…c24bbacked Yes	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6704…baa4backed Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x62c5…a562backed Yes	18c	989$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.9	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.5wins	-0.15per pick	38cpaid	-61%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes	9c	982.64$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.55	764	50.4%385 W · 379 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes	18c	976.58$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.3	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes	8c	941.92$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x609a…02e3backed Yes	8c	935.13$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.81	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40c8…5087backed Yes	16c	925$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1446…939abacked No	79c	921.97$726 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.84	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xced3…eea4backed Yes	12c	900$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5443…ae71backed Yes	11c	899.88$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.99	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5961…d0d5backed Yes	10c	873.43$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	53	37.7%20 W · 33 L	-7.1wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc6ec…875cbacked Yes	23c	850.15$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.24	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event