TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$993,919
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$768,137

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $993,919 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c169,350$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.093116.1%5 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-65.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f25…3e46backed Yes3c51,000$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9af5…5312backed Yes4c42,597$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Yes1c39,637$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.747532%24 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb51c…28d7backed Yes0c27,000$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes1c26,430$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.84313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab9…c44cbacked Yes0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c20,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50440%0 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf490…727cbacked Yes3c15,042$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f03…b69abacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107516%12 W · 63 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Yes4c7,493$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.5716554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205820.7%12 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes3c4,882$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.872920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3eb…e855backed Yes2c4,521$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c4,474$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.18530%0 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes3c3,363$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.876613.6%9 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-75.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes4c2,558$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.33225%8 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-38.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes1c2,530$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.42185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-62.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes4c2,103$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1160%0 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x163e…8815backed Yes4c2,075$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5618…349abacked Yes4c1,900$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce03…612abacked Yes4c1,900$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef4…1b5cbacked Yes1c1,647$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc03b…6971backed Yes1c1,625$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e8…77d2backed Yes4c1,555$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.161520%3 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-58.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb66…9b4dbacked Yes7c1,479$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f9…d83abacked Yes5c1,300$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fcd…fa0abacked Yes2c1,296$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2240%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc261…edbcbacked Yes1c1,250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc69d…1262backed Yes4c1,185$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f0e…91c6backed Yes3c1,181$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e2b…c0e1backed Yes1c1,136$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6e…96ffbacked Yes6c1,132$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3860%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Yes3c1,119$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9411951.3%61 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0205…ea5cbacked Yes1c1,077$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e56…1bf2backed Yes2c1,059$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x055d…3b9bbacked Yes2c1,028$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa957…ff03backed Yes2c1,011$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca0c…f434backed Yes3c1,011$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011745.3%53 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0b5…7f8ebacked Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49e1…41cfbacked Yes3c1,000$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb10e…83e3backed Yes3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23e0…04babacked Yes3c1,000$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x194d…44acbacked Yes3c1,000$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd388…bf0ebacked Yes3c1,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes3c943.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.58170%0 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8d3…c900backed Yes3c939.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa53b…ab53backed Yes3c856$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.781323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-58.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes4c807.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7991334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf58c…2d2cbacked Yes2c791.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6704…baa4backed Yes3c758.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3247…771fbacked Yes4c731.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11f6…cce7backed Yes4c699.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-55.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x492c…851bbacked Yes2c652.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c5…855dbacked Yes3c562.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8095…b2b5backed Yes3c545.92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes3c504.91$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.16230%0 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc40e…2e1abacked Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedb8…217abacked Yes5c499$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb680…a78abacked Yes3c449.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0f…307cbacked Yes4c440.52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.350%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade0…1a2fbacked Yes3c437.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d6…f52bbacked Yes3c433.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-64.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb44…6d62backed Yes3c430.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.240%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2518…a4ccbacked Yes3c364.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9370%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed Yes4c345.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.823743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a20…4a07backed Yes4c340.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd949…4ed0backed Yes3c330.54$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60f5…2bfbbacked Yes3c313.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6470%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbfea…15ecbacked Yes4c303.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9180%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed49…ebb9backed Yes4c298.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7670%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd14c…7647backed Yes4c295.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6340%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaa9…a193backed Yes4c291.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4950%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71f6…2c62backed Yes4c291.11$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4860%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff4…1f0fbacked Yes6c256.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34b0…9017backed Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes4c249.13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0170%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea27…8a0bbacked Yes4c228.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed67…e6f4backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1060%0 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.