TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,317,996
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,220,100

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,317,996 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x542a…a81bbacked Yes1c180,534$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c121,364$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.363116.1%5 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-65.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Yes1c72,506$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.057532%24 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes1c61,231$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.77313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c12,000$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28440%0 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Yes1c10,155$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.321020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Yes6c9,998$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.891662.5%10 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.29per pick34cpaid+85.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x252b…8400backed Yes2c7,132$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.521428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6c5…b284backed Yes2c6,871$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick28cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Yes1c6,811$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4165345%294 W · 359 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes2c5,978$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.71170%0 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21fc…f3d2backed Yes8c5,558$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes2c5,341$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9018136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5808…154bbacked Yes2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes4c4,734$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.286613.6%9 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-75.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dc4…0705backed Yes2c3,749$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.732548%12 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ef…c7ccbacked Yes2c2,916$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd637…1017backed Yes6c2,912$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.2690%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4931…7c3fbacked Yes1c2,720$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.045352.8%28 W · 25 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe0e9…2106backed Yes2c2,605$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes2c2,560$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.491612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a1…d158backed Yes2c2,273$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.23812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-79.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6f3…bfc1backed Yes2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Yes2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010124.8%25 W · 76 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-35.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xca00…4e26backed Yes2c1,905$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99b…b62cbacked Yes3c1,900$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44fe…9b34backed Yes3c1,900$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e77…8d56backed Yes3c1,900$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x343b…5e99backed Yes3c1,900$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bfc…d8d3backed Yes3c1,806$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf924…3900backed Yes2c1,801$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2230%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes2c1,646$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5712438.7%48 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e34…0777backed Yes2c1,645$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a6c…ce1cbacked Yes2c1,628$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1439…5051backed Yes2c1,500$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2470%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes1c1,400$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.611441.2%47 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes1c1,323$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.52100%0 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56e6…f605backed Yes1c1,294$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14dd…13eebacked Yes2c1,253$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7460%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9dc…018bbacked Yes2c1,222$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f4e…9408backed Yes7c1,220$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf433…2178backed Yes2c1,141$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.88714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-71.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4367…4d64backed Yes2c1,129$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5bf…b6cbbacked Yes2c1,099$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01e6…cf87backed Yes2c1,097$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0205…ea5cbacked Yes1c1,071$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf8e…b6eabacked Yes1c1,067$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+33.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc03b…6971backed Yes2c1,037$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x639f…7e38backed Yes1c1,022$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4c6…7f64backed Yes2c1,020$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7465…3472backed Yes2c1,002$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7977…1d5ebacked Yes2c1,000$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd847…74a9backed Yes2c1,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40c…8192backed Yes2c1,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8bb…ffdabacked Yes2c1,000$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c29…09e9backed Yes2c1,000$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6de…eaa2backed Yes2c1,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa44a…f9eebacked Yes2c1,000$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3a5…1c50backed Yes2c1,000$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c61…6681backed Yes2c1,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447c…c3b4backed Yes2c1,000$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a6…76c5backed Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbabf…1d79backed Yes3c999.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6574…a6ebbacked Yes2c999.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick5cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Yes7c998.35$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7011745.3%53 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dfc…d7bebacked Yes2c960$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7322…a747backed Yes2c956.52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3319…10f2backed Yes2c956.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdbe…405dbacked Yes2c951.21$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da4…8e39backed Yes2c927.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fcd…fa0abacked Yes2c897.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6704…baa4backed Yes2c882.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes2c861.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.061625%4 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-47.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x973d…4e4ebacked Yes2c749.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fc6…4d5dbacked Yes2c692.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes4c679.52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1833837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c615.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2322516.4%37 W · 188 L-1.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9383…2b01backed Yes2c571.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe5…ebc0backed Yes3c547.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e3…b455backed Yes8c541.94$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4450%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2e…30eebacked Yes3c516$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52eb…757abacked Yes6c408.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.08100%0 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f3d…fea8backed Yes7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+62.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa8…f84abacked Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-60.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5531…76fcbacked Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.53336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x146b…2e37backed Yes7c160$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.