NHL · resolved market
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9c3453deb9e9af9388cbb0ca7a9897d76d642aad0c47306d4d20a29c50a7ee0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,285,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $845,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,285,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 232,734$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.2 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…65e8backed Yes | 0c | 119,807$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.42 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 1c | 60,734$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.1 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 1c | 28,673$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.63 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc69d…1262backed Yes | 3c | 12,145$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.51 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 11,368$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 1c | 11,272$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,652$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 53 | 0%0 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…4032backed Yes | 0c | 8,065$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -58%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7b…f474backed Yes | 1c | 7,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfafb…6b02backed Yes | 1c | 6,629$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x111f…de33backed Yes | 1c | 6,629$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa236…32dfbacked Yes | 1c | 6,629$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…ca74backed Yes | 1c | 6,611$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…f0f3backed Yes | 1c | 6,542$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…c6aabacked Yes | 1c | 6,542$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8167…79cdbacked Yes | 1c | 6,425$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5290…5839backed Yes | 1c | 6,411$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…2961backed Yes | 0c | 6,247$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e5…5b56backed Yes | 1c | 5,789$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0889…b406backed Yes | 0c | 5,620$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x857d…0b39backed Yes | 0c | 5,532$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 1c | 5,472$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…cf94backed Yes | 0c | 5,275$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af3…dc15backed Yes | 1c | 5,177$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…e899backed Yes | 0c | 4,732$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…e81fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,611$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2178backed Yes | 1c | 3,722$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae97…d9debacked Yes | 1c | 2,897$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe469…adc8backed Yes | 1c | 2,190$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cc…f60abacked Yes | 1c | 2,190$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…9b44backed Yes | 1c | 2,190$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e23…ebf5backed Yes | 1c | 1,967$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438b…facdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,900$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…3f5fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,900$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…1637backed Yes | 1c | 1,900$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…f4babacked Yes | 1c | 1,900$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…e52bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,833$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…8146backed Yes | 1c | 1,819$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…433fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,778$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c2…f6fbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,746$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3153…778cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,490$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f81…4de4backed Yes | 1c | 1,430$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Yes | 1c | 1,247$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe950…f264backed Yes | 2c | 1,237$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes | 2c | 1,210$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 1,203$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,092$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…624bbacked Yes | 1c | 886.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed49…ebb9backed Yes | 1c | 856.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…757abacked Yes | 1c | 787.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfea…15ecbacked Yes | 1c | 784.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa9…a193backed Yes | 2c | 703.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 5c | 206.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Nashville Predators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?this page
- Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Boston Bruins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes won
- Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Islanders win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Utah Hockey Club win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
- Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.