TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,442,734
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,848,599

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,442,734 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes0c180,612$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.61392.6%1 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-96%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes0c150,012$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.85313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c126,988$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.09440%0 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c92,213$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.073116.1%5 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-65.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07e7…a343backed Yes1c79,999$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes0c73,308$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.015820.7%12 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f0e…4775backed Yes0c70,571$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.7120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Yes0c57,587$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.657532%24 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xded5…d9cabacked Yes0c40,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802626.9%7 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick18cpaid-27.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes1c40,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2302611.5%3 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-74.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f03…b69abacked Yes0c38,603$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.787516%12 W · 63 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x691e…9b99backed Yes1c34,031$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.661258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+81.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes1c26,982$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.41230%0 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80e9…5105backed Yes1c26,039$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.280%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd637…1017backed Yes1c25,579$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.7590%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8aa…b8b0backed Yes0c24,717$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c22,040$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.01530%0 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d6…f52bbacked Yes1c19,326$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-64.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x463e…664ebacked Yes1c13,626$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.74140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69af…05c3backed Yes1c13,577$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1af…fac3backed Yes1c10,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa068…9574backed Yes0c8,583$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266946.4%32 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0274…307bbacked Yes2c8,008$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.1170%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9037…1621backed Yes2c7,224$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4850%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ee…9d6bbacked Yes0c7,108$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4931…7c3fbacked Yes0c6,950$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.485352.8%28 W · 25 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked Yes1c6,096$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8250%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf338…a99fbacked Yes1c6,000$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4840%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes0c5,738$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.481127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-55%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa728…5a45backed Yes1c5,619$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes0c5,555$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.112045%9 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+39.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6e…96ffbacked Yes2c5,516$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2960%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33b…cf3cbacked Yes1c5,400$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-47.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes1c5,366$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e05…0d9cbacked Yes0c5,331$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e70…5f80backed Yes0c5,331$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd38…3759backed Yes0c5,331$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bcd…d2f5backed Yes0c5,331$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…b9e7backed Yes0c5,331$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0d7…d88fbacked Yes0c5,331$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c1…45abbacked Yes0c5,331$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cbc…99e6backed Yes0c5,331$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ef…96c0backed Yes1c5,300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes1c5,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453225%8 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-38.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc103…1138backed Yes1c5,000$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.21010%1 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-81.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a8…900fbacked Yes1c5,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2f…002cbacked Yes1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdde…f72cbacked Yes1c4,824$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f95…728ebacked Yes1c4,824$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3cd…e736backed Yes1c4,824$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e5e…fbe4backed Yes1c4,824$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2828…1302backed Yes1c4,824$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9511…340abacked Yes1c4,824$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes1c4,821$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2715236.2%55 W · 97 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bc…5c41backed Yes1c4,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2c7…9455backed Yes1c3,989$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ccd…b1a0backed Yes1c3,989$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb1…6126backed Yes1c3,989$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf06…121abacked Yes1c3,989$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa86d…db9fbacked Yes1c3,989$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae96…e37abacked Yes1c3,989$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes1c3,972$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.22160%0 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4cb…6c2abacked Yes1c3,952$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+117%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes1c3,752$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.346613.6%9 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-75.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95c8…5972backed Yes0c3,554$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde0c…dfc2backed Yes0c3,554$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f1…46b1backed Yes0c3,554$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11b0…ef87backed Yes0c3,554$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf53f…badcbacked Yes0c3,554$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x422d…cc40backed Yes0c3,554$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf7d…8cf2backed Yes0c3,554$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30e7…ea59backed Yes0c3,554$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecea…185fbacked Yes0c3,554$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb93b…98cfbacked Yes0c3,554$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd35b…a570backed Yes0c3,554$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34c2…f6fbbacked Yes1c3,339$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.64120%0 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes0c3,250$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134045%18 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick36cpaid-9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7841…1f38backed Yes1c3,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes1c3,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18170%0 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa667…84febacked Yes1c3,000$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75b0…d570backed Yes1c2,833$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd818…231ebacked Yes1c2,709$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1315…aaf0backed Yes1c2,667$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid-63%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e48…1373backed Yes1c2,571$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes1c2,559$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8991334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d43…0d83backed Yes1c2,505$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b8…adadbacked Yes1c2,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60c7…fbfabacked Yes1c2,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd4…41a0backed Yes1c2,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid-30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba2e…48adbacked Yes1c2,431$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa8f…4c58backed Yes1c2,429$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ed…758fbacked Yes1c2,405$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1a9…d3acbacked Yes1c2,333$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8c7…552abacked Yes1c2,231$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae64…84cbbacked Yes1c2,227$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4a0…f8cebacked Yes1c2,220$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b14…7b25backed Yes1c2,036$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00cb…164bbacked Yes1c2,013$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf49a…62c9backed Yes1c2,009$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.