TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,500,277
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,208,881

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,500,277 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 523 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbea7…90d4backed Yes1c1,095,400$5,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,47710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3c8…6605backed Yes1c1,095,400$5,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,47710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedad…7286backed Yes1c996,905$4,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,984.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabe3…ba4abacked Yes1c996,632$4,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,983.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x439c…341bbacked Yes1c969,696$4,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,848.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f00…d763backed Yes1c968,422$4,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,842.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x714c…1911backed Yes1c956,760$4,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,783.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae19…0d57backed Yes1c956,690$4,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,783.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a0d…b321backed Yes1c956,690$4,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,783.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cde…2bb7backed Yes1c929,424$4,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,647.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe43…64b6backed Yes1c921,789$4,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,608.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0ae…1239backed Yes1c921,789$4,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,608.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x268a…6e78backed Yes1c867,752$4,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,338.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadc5…feb0backed Yes1c867,752$4,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,338.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5725…e3b9backed Yes1c836,628$4,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,183.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3057…153bbacked Yes1c836,628$4,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,183.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x729d…52d3backed Yes1c803,764$4,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,018.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1528…4bd6backed Yes1c803,764$4,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,018.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade6…30aebacked Yes1c736,155$3,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,680.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c52…cd40backed Yes1c708,890$3,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,544.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc474…dad0backed Yes1c657,240$3,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,286.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11a1…1b76backed Yes1c629,855$3,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,149.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes0c374,940$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.61392.6%1 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-96%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes0c346,499$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344230%0 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c343,081$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.533116.1%5 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-65.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec02…8a96backed Yes1c172,871$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.9860%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x463e…664ebacked Yes0c128,498$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.49140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e7…a343backed Yes0c119,883$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.53130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc81…7d53backed Yes1c95,969$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85bf…cf2bbacked Yes1c54,164$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.327540%30 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e29…05a0backed Yes0c52,717$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80f7…7a1ebacked Yes0c52,063$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x747b…87f0backed Yes1c43,045$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc346…be84backed Yes1c42,650$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd721…3514backed Yes1c42,387$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4834…e674backed Yes1c42,354$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd36…7df7backed Yes1c42,345$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d1…24f2backed Yes1c42,134$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d43…d78ebacked Yes1c41,861$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc20…1b17backed Yes1c41,540$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x072a…dd56backed Yes1c41,352$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x512a…9204backed Yes1c40,919$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06d4…6340backed Yes1c40,862$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06c1…a980backed Yes1c40,746$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f2…9d96backed Yes1c40,604$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad9a…a8fabacked Yes1c39,951$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7a…f19bbacked Yes1c39,873$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01f9…d864backed Yes1c39,648$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f74…1b28backed Yes1c39,522$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9967…adbebacked Yes1c39,130$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4358…dee3backed Yes1c39,042$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3a5…0d52backed Yes1c38,952$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2f0…695dbacked Yes1c38,947$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb981…4252backed Yes1c38,586$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1243…d714backed Yes1c38,562$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7959…ebebbacked Yes1c38,507$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5db6…44c7backed Yes1c38,454$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b9…2545backed Yes1c38,088$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8b…eeafbacked Yes1c38,032$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2cc…2d69backed Yes1c38,005$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5d…65c9backed Yes1c37,991$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1190…05d8backed Yes1c37,842$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424d…7091backed Yes1c37,789$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf7f…2eefbacked Yes1c37,687$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ef0…89a3backed Yes1c37,679$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf696…898bbacked Yes1c37,642$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedda…2716backed Yes1c37,591$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5407…5fd1backed Yes1c37,568$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x712d…7e83backed Yes1c37,540$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc926…6af0backed Yes1c37,527$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb692…ef5ebacked Yes1c37,502$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcca0…3217backed Yes1c37,223$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ab6…47a2backed Yes1c37,221$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066e…7d92backed Yes1c37,170$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe255…7e14backed Yes1c37,161$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x645a…83efbacked Yes1c37,154$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87c9…5e55backed Yes1c37,048$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6448…1507backed Yes1c37,031$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf21e…9546backed Yes1c36,882$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd241…b94bbacked Yes1c36,854$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b2f…07d3backed Yes1c36,708$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e44…4339backed Yes1c36,646$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ef…34e4backed Yes1c36,636$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ae…be79backed Yes1c36,571$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3f…dc5dbacked Yes1c36,549$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e0e…4e9dbacked Yes1c36,410$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33c…5870backed Yes1c36,383$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe52d…02b5backed Yes1c36,303$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33fb…5919backed Yes1c36,241$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48c7…33a9backed Yes1c36,109$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d50…4c01backed Yes1c36,036$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x375b…d52ebacked Yes1c36,015$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a2…d6c0backed Yes1c35,943$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf771…474fbacked Yes1c35,875$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-15.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7322…2e7abacked Yes1c35,865$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c35,797$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.58530%0 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe98c…8a26backed Yes1c35,789$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x400b…f31bbacked Yes1c35,746$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ae…e488backed Yes1c35,720$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe303…80bebacked Yes1c35,720$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.