TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,738,344
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,049,997

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,738,344 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07e7…a343backed Yes1c365,384$2,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,127.3130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c314,846$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.813116.1%5 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-65.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Yes0c154,919$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.477532%24 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x463e…664ebacked Yes0c148,454$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.81140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes1c95,823$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.29230%0 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c80,227$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.58440%0 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac9…9678backed Yes0c62,215$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.984847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes0c56,162$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.05313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes1c50,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80e9…5105backed Yes1c45,086$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.6180%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes1c39,387$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.942611.5%3 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-74.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes1c39,008$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.5334032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes1c28,062$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf605…b731backed Yes1c25,415$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c23,822$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.51530%0 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd31e…d3c0backed Yes1c21,833$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes0c19,472$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.425820.7%12 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f2…bdc2backed Yes1c19,215$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a6d…139abacked Yes1c19,215$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c16,501$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes0c15,713$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015236.2%55 W · 97 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad15…ec64backed Yes1c10,184$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x665f…9a23backed Yes0c10,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1af…fac3backed Yes1c10,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2888…ca74backed Yes0c9,981$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfafb…6b02backed Yes0c9,981$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8167…79cdbacked Yes0c9,981$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdf4…f0f3backed Yes0c9,981$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x111f…de33backed Yes0c9,981$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e87…c6aabacked Yes0c9,981$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf1…0692backed Yes0c9,957$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe305…6874backed Yes0c9,957$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…b09cbacked Yes0c9,957$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26b1…3247backed Yes0c9,957$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea26…f50dbacked Yes0c9,708$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdb9…2ab5backed Yes0c9,708$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab3e…cd28backed Yes0c9,708$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3673…8b85backed Yes0c9,708$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x706c…7924backed Yes0c9,708$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa390…73d0backed Yes0c9,708$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd938…ca42backed Yes0c9,677$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5290…5839backed Yes0c9,677$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3df…4049backed Yes0c9,677$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3f1…ee96backed Yes0c9,677$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39ac…dbd8backed Yes0c9,606$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6210…6d10backed Yes0c9,606$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x410d…daa3backed Yes0c9,606$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd8…afb8backed Yes0c9,606$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2f8…eb9bbacked Yes0c9,606$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd119…ca0fbacked Yes0c9,606$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36a6…f478backed Yes0c9,606$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x476b…e9a8backed Yes0c9,605$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69aa…1331backed Yes0c9,587$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa236…32dfbacked Yes0c8,333$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x628b…b84fbacked Yes1c8,110$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85bf…cf2bbacked Yes1c7,997$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.987540%30 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c9e…5d5fbacked Yes1c7,710$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1b0…f1d0backed Yes0c7,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17c6…6456backed Yes1c7,092$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f5…2df0backed Yes1c6,984$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ad…56dcbacked Yes1c6,164$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ad…610bbacked Yes1c5,838$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x146f…ed5dbacked Yes1c5,626$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d15…c1c2backed Yes0c5,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db9…3e30backed Yes1c5,412$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0035…01acbacked Yes1c5,381$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b1b…f2dfbacked Yes1c5,341$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a87…ea40backed Yes1c5,327$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b3…4df0backed Yes1c5,286$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes0c5,250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254045%18 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick36cpaid-9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc959…fb63backed Yes1c5,102$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cf7…18fabacked Yes1c5,019$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Yes0c5,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511951.3%61 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd188…f6d2backed Yes0c4,544$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick19cpaid-30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5808…154bbacked Yes1c4,371$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.62433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d5…acc5backed Yes0c4,361$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc651…b4a1backed Yes1c4,341$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9774…817cbacked Yes1c4,322$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf91…2991backed Yes1c4,300$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98fb…a26ebacked Yes1c4,190$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes1c4,155$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9126547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba28…c0d6backed Yes1c4,002$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Yes0c4,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5410124.8%25 W · 76 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-35.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1116…82ebbacked Yes1c3,980$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x034c…392bbacked Yes0c3,750$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb747…9fb1backed Yes1c3,702$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7b0…2413backed Yes1c3,687$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd637…1017backed Yes1c3,561$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8190%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a2c…b751backed Yes0c3,400$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7764…dc84backed Yes1c3,392$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b8…ee01backed Yes1c3,143$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75b0…d570backed Yes1c3,076$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fd5…2f4ebacked Yes1c3,035$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f1…7b16backed Yes1c3,030$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf70a…0a2dbacked Yes1c3,000$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid-51%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…aad5backed Yes0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf368…9262backed Yes1c3,000$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid-52.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes1c3,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18170%0 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecc…b59fbacked Yes1c2,857$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a2…f6e2backed Yes0c2,750$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.