TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,862,428
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,146,030

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,862,428 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc6dd…c078backed Yes1c2,898,418$14,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,492.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb51e…f87abacked Yes1c2,898,417$14,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,492.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e4…491ebacked Yes1c2,365,788$11,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,828.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f3b…a9b2backed Yes1c2,365,788$11,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,828.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f84…5c64backed Yes1c2,147,475$10,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,737.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46aa…a302backed Yes1c2,118,842$10,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,594.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd503…86f3backed Yes1c2,064,168$10,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,320.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc170…9cadbacked Yes1c2,035,499$10,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,177.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6125…6a90backed Yes1c1,216,380$6,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,081.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3cd…b42abacked Yes1c1,188,735$5,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,943.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ae1…839fbacked Yes1c1,188,348$5,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,941.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93a7…b765backed Yes1c1,160,712$5,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,803.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a23…371abacked Yes1c1,127,720$5,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,638.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb588…72dbbacked Yes1c1,108,965$5,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,544.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fa…6277backed Yes1c1,108,965$5,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,544.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8b2…a4d1backed Yes1c1,099,527$5,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,497.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42af…0157backed Yes1c1,078,467$5,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,392.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbf5…ebbbbacked Yes1c1,078,467$5,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,392.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e42…4e35backed Yes1c1,069,358$5,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,346.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06c6…51d9backed Yes1c1,041,217$5,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,206.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab67…af47backed Yes1c805,185$4,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,025.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec5…3117backed Yes1c777,420$3,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,887.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2951…001abacked Yes1c758,252$3,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,791.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8df9…abe5backed Yes1c741,019$3,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,705.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f7…8815backed Yes1c662,160$3,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,310.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3171…5be3backed Yes1c662,160$3,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,310.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc4c…7a8dbacked Yes1c397,921$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.6130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a96…5cb0backed Yes1c391,920$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c331,303$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.883116.1%5 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-65.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes0c316,425$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.45392.6%1 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-96%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes0c300,224$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.9230%0 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2551…4d23backed Yes1c297,986$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11f7…38a0backed Yes1c275,064$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e7…a343backed Yes0c189,998$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.99130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x463e…664ebacked Yes0c185,996$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.98140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81d2…a238backed Yes1c73,043$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe816…d6b4backed Yes1c72,992$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe13d…1d63backed Yes1c72,932$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes0c69,407$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.923225%8 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-38.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd2…93e6backed Yes1c67,465$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0423…e452backed Yes1c67,449$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ef…0410backed Yes1c67,449$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2851…865abacked Yes1c67,449$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b57…0f63backed Yes1c67,427$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69be…9dc3backed Yes1c67,427$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x157c…73babacked Yes1c67,376$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd58b…c3b4backed Yes1c67,376$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcd1…c4c8backed Yes1c67,325$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc464…dda5backed Yes1c67,324$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa73…d382backed Yes1c67,324$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb51a…8766backed Yes1c67,205$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0c0…7300backed Yes1c61,804$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4ec…2390backed Yes1c61,803$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ad…9639backed Yes1c61,752$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffda…c035backed Yes1c61,730$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44bc…8bf7backed Yes1c56,350$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c43,815$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.15530%0 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f0…086fbacked Yes1c24,001$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes0c23,400$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.53313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b1…f402backed Yes1c18,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6d5…a854backed Yes1c15,222$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea9…e7a5backed Yes1c13,333$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c12,467$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4440%0 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x146f…ed5dbacked Yes1c11,816$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c11,184$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.741942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-38.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6848…e050backed Yes1c10,404$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9960…82efbacked Yes1c10,271$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc724…3c52backed Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc411…2a64backed Yes1c10,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3f5…0205backed Yes1c9,386$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1116…82ebbacked Yes1c9,308$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f6…10e7backed Yes1c9,296$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0267…5adabacked Yes1c9,141$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3adb…425bbacked Yes1c9,112$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50db…8bdcbacked Yes1c8,979$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ac…150dbacked Yes1c8,798$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d8…05f3backed Yes1c8,730$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b9…6c67backed Yes1c8,325$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1c9…258ebacked Yes1c8,159$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb125…c627backed Yes1c7,747$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7800…1415backed Yes1c7,747$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dfb…0469backed Yes1c7,747$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd416…9961backed Yes1c7,747$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e5…6236backed Yes1c7,747$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27a…c7aebacked Yes1c7,747$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc19f…fd05backed Yes1c7,747$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e43…993dbacked Yes1c7,747$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0458…1cfabacked Yes1c7,747$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e01…5bd4backed Yes1c7,747$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c97…bbc4backed Yes1c7,747$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x564b…5ce9backed Yes1c7,747$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dd…8597backed Yes1c7,747$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba97…e8d9backed Yes1c7,747$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1639…5834backed Yes1c7,747$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed4e…7c78backed Yes1c7,592$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842c…7c8cbacked Yes1c7,509$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0d2…bce4backed Yes1c7,486$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x478c…a645backed Yes1c7,136$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c24…23d4backed Yes0c7,100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes1c7,015$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0750%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.