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NHL · resolved market

Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,428,704
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,540,033

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,428,704 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…468fbacked Yes2c61,906$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.45313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Yes2c61,720$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.767532%24 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70e0…e809backed Yes4c19,600$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480f…0905backed Yes3c13,818$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.95616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-65.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes2c13,143$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.575820.7%12 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes2c11,567$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.3234032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes2c11,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9438445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd13…2e4dbacked Yes2c10,236$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.96812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-75.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes2c9,389$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16515236.2%55 W · 97 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e3c…763abacked Yes4c7,137$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes3c6,731$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.616613.6%9 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-75.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ede…c417backed Yes2c6,711$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.53128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick19cpaid-89.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a9d…9646backed Yes1c6,218$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904436.4%16 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf40…f075backed Yes4c5,265$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-51.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc69d…1262backed Yes4c5,221$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.17100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes4c5,200$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209230%0 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes2c5,000$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.941811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-51.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e6a…2720backed Yes2c5,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick41cpaid-1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1af…fac3backed Yes4c5,000$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19550%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb49…dfa1backed Yes5c4,830$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2204930.6%15 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes2c4,794$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.39185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-62.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c4,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16440%0 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62c5…a562backed Yes4c3,814$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-61%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes3c3,738$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2391334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes5c3,659$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.3981846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes3c3,499$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8211441.2%47 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x665f…9a23backed Yes2c3,101$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.061118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38b8…d9f5backed Yes5c3,020$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd637…1017backed Yes3c2,771$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0690%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes1c2,642$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.997352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f1e…f334backed Yes4c2,374$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90100%0 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes4c2,342$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.243225%8 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-38.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9037…1621backed Yes3c2,021$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9350%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11a7…7ebbbacked Yes3c2,000$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6260%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc103…1138backed Yes4c2,000$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.441010%1 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-81.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60cf…a9a6backed Yes4c1,900$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8345…7fc3backed Yes4c1,900$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes2c1,878$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404045%18 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick36cpaid-9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4e5…5b1dbacked Yes2c1,812$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69af…05c3backed Yes5c1,809$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3421…e644backed Yes2c1,697$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes3c1,693$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4926547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Yes2c1,609$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9565345%294 W · 359 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c4…c441backed Yes2c1,571$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301010%1 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7239…e65fbacked Yes2c1,549$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.05333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick6cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x703c…e334backed Yes4c1,518$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f48…aa49backed Yes2c1,510$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.58911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-36.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes2c1,482$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.32623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac93…02ccbacked Yes2c1,445$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x241c…9399backed Yes2c1,439$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481d…48cfbacked Yes2c1,410$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0211747%55 W · 62 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c98…1caebacked Yes2c1,385$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9970…ec7fbacked Yes3c1,341$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes2c1,245$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.382611.5%3 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-74.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes4c1,243$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.53160%0 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47cb…5a86backed Yes2c1,222$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b53…76d4backed Yes2c1,190$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1256…2946backed Yes2c1,182$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes2c1,163$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9131744.2%140 W · 177 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x505d…ac27backed Yes3c1,152$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x252b…8400backed Yes4c1,150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.31428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed Yes1c1,087$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.963743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa728…5a45backed Yes5c1,079$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd459…fe2fbacked Yes3c1,065$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes3c1,050$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.51612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd86…bd0cbacked Yes2c1,026$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e95…d070backed Yes3c1,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x992c…659abacked Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa947…7196backed Yes3c1,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc86b…23d6backed Yes3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa8…f84abacked Yes2c1,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.85137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-60.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x384c…f885backed Yes3c1,000$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb03b…62e0backed Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x732a…6115backed Yes2c1,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9cd…879bbacked Yes4c1,000$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f03…b69abacked Yes3c1,000$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.347516%12 W · 63 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42b8…fc10backed Yes4c1,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03df…e1e6backed Yes3c1,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd774…e266backed Yes2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbd…c71ebacked Yes3c1,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89cf…c031backed Yes3c1,000$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf55f…e6d5backed Yes3c1,000$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e8…a2f2backed Yes4c1,000$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x527c…abc2backed Yes3c1,000$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.551010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…c6e8backed Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed Yes3c967.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.48812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-72.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8bb…ffdabacked Yes3c960$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebf…96d9backed Yes2c952.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ed4…34e9backed Yes3c939.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a3e…2e53backed Yes2c907.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.24633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-39.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1833…48bdbacked Yes2c907.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes2c899.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.91811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fc6…4d5dbacked Yes3c892.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c0d…66b4backed Yes2c877.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf40…e371backed Yes3c872.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9c…dc7abacked Yes3c872.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes3c850$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.134845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5387…5baabacked Yes2c846.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x023e…4f21backed Yes3c840$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7136…668abacked Yes2c835.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.