TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,420,376
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$974,548

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,420,376 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b41…e0d3backed Yes10c120,427$12,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,454.6824457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8679…4659backed Yes17c115,159$19,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,4271758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Yes9c70,802$6,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,428.116645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…1486backed Yes14c58,000$8,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,12010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…1e7bbacked Yes8c54,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,32010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes9c48,135$4,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,558.415431.8%49 W · 105 L-12.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes19c43,643$8,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,358.6911441.2%47 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Yes5c40,181$2,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,181.197532%24 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes11c36,015$3,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,963.8111141.4%46 W · 65 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Yes9c30,825$2,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,672.1936242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Yes10c30,016$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,001.021662.5%10 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.29per pick34cpaid+85.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes3c15,349$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.48313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Yes23c15,215$3,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,502.0927958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ac1…45dbbacked Yes24c13,979$3,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,333366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+69.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed Yes9c11,111$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.991154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes12c10,049$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+94.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98ec…7cd3backed Yes9c10,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-65%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5395…3fdabacked Yes18c7,484$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes10c6,780$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.116613.6%9 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-75.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e6a…2720backed Yes11c6,767$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.652751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick41cpaid-1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes4c6,226$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.34234.3%1 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-91.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf96e…a416backed Yes2c5,624$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-51.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ad…96b3backed Yes2c5,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Yes1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-59.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes3c4,901$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.8381846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3479…f2bdbacked Yes12c4,462$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.881225%3 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-51%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c4,410$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3322516.4%37 W · 188 L-1.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes23c4,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9201,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c70…e76dbacked Yes8c3,800$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+614.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72f3…ba51backed Yes29c3,596$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes5c3,319$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.225340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes9c3,220$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.841,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes2c3,171$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6370%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes14c3,017$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.9339752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee06…f8b1backed Yes11c3,014$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.53438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b34…2439backed Yes9c3,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26050%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f4…5228backed Yes8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb49…dfa1backed Yes11c2,667$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004930.6%15 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf330…f779backed Yes7c2,619$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.972536%9 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee7…37f0backed Yes11c2,553$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.841942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+49%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No55c2,271$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.5761848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…15eabacked Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.992927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-49.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa117…1aa9backed Yes4c2,120$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd33a…2cc4backed Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick41cpaid-82.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes17c1,890$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.611811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes4c1,865$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.411020%2 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid+67%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes12c1,797$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2244045%18 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick36cpaid-9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc578…fab0backed Yes17c1,765$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4344…caefbacked Yes10c1,616$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.62236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb8…9231backed Yes15c1,609$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.937448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e20…f3e7backed Yes8c1,478$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255347.2%25 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes13c1,390$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.738445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes11c1,257$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9826547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ad…337dbacked Yes2c1,200$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes10c1,174$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.54185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-62.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3b…f4aabacked Yes11c1,170$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8099…e69cbacked Yes9c1,149$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x705f…8814backed Yes12c1,116$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8740%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf23…3600backed Yes9c1,103$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.87812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa8…f84abacked Yes3c1,100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-60.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b70…cac2backed Yes9c1,088$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Yes10c1,049$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Yes7c1,005$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1265345%294 W · 359 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Yes7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7011745.3%53 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10049546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x542c…f12bbacked Yes7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick7cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf0…6215backed Yes9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901010%1 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16014844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6704…baa4backed Yes7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x527c…abc2backed Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes18c987.48$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.3560741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafa2…08a3backed Yes15c986.79$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+61.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7948…9917backed Yes19c944.61$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.981735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf720…4599backed Yes8c929.66$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.384240.5%17 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cf…1f03backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa901…5c12backed Yes11c907.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcbe…ee8dbacked Yes3c906.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.681741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes12c900$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1086341.3%26 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f11…d548backed Yes11c900$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe86d…47c2backed Yes12c847.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x057c…ea8bbacked Yes12c842.42$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x926e…9f8abacked Yes8c810.5$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f16…d4a5backed Yes12c808.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb014…b3fabacked Yes15c788.74$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.631020%2 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+48.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc2c…3544backed Yes7c749.97$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cc7…c24fbacked Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…766dbacked Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503026.7%8 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick21cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes15c698.29$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3831744.2%140 W · 177 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbec0…e653backed Yes8c648.38$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f48…aa49backed Yes20c643.36$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-36.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed Yes10c604.7$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.473348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1841…c63dbacked Yes3c600$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c6…7a5dbacked Yes9c595.15$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes6c571.02$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0991334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68e1…e78bbacked Yes9c556.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f06…244bbacked Yes2c528.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0554…da2abacked No78c524.36$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.36666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes3c524.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+46.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick10cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.