TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e6a…2720

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Venezuela at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST2751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick41cpaid-1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Starsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$76.24
Golden Knights vs. Devilsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+28.2%+$11.28
Kraken vs. Oilersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$23.5
Capitals vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$91
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+117.8%+$58.91
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+119.2%+$625.82
Will a Canadian team win NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+90.5%+$361.91
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+95.8%+$28.74
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+100%+$250
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$145.55
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$731.65
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$41
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.41
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$73.5
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.84
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 President’s Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$217.76
Will Alex Ovechkin break the scoring record this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$178.1
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$82.5
Canucks vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+96.1%+$73.5
Oilers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$33.6
Kings vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+61.3%+$95
Maple Leafs vs. Rangersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+88.7%+$35.25
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$825Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$824.6
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+252.6%+$2,526.32
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$32
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,139.5
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$723Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$722.87
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,049Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+25.4%+$520.65
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,253Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,253
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$320.01
Will the Liberals win between 190-210 seats in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.93
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$650
Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$444
All 11 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+33.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$274.94
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+34.6%+$102.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+40.8%+$580
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,649Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,648.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye launch a coin in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$69
Will Kanye launch a coin by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$115.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+290.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+290.6%+$74.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$170
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$895Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$895.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,988Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,987.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.