MLB · resolved market
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 American League Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cc4f3fe707fda933306e5266a7bb2599dd539da1150bd3293011ea47ee0fe9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $366,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $361,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $366,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 56c | 41,079$23,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,005.21 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 17c | 22,885$3,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,025.98 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Yes | 57c | 11,645$6,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,008.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 45c | 9,405$4,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,138.26 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Yes | 31c | 8,593$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,941.7 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 48c | 7,801$3,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,087.06 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 39c | 7,384$2,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,527.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 56c | 7,188$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,188.32 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed No | 45c | 6,362$2,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.78 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…8a28backed Yes | 23c | 6,050$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,657.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 26c | 5,887$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,361.83 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…5014backed Yes | 27c | 5,317$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,903.85 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed83…a91fbacked No | 67c | 5,300$3,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,544.32 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -66%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Yes | 60c | 4,317$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.38 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 26c | 3,787$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,787.03 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 64c | 3,265$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.59 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Yes | 43c | 3,021$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.35 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 47c | 3,001$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.74 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…cdf6backed Yes | 35c | 2,849$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 56c | 2,777$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.39 | 103 | 28.2%29 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x512c…7f4fbacked Yes | 24c | 2,551$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Yes | 50c | 2,372$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 3c | 2,333$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 42c | 2,259$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.6 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Yes | 15c | 2,100$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yes | 48c | 2,086$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.7 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…bd88backed No | 46c | 2,081$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 47c | 2,020$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.3 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 46c | 2,000$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked No | 46c | 1,651$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.52 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 3c | 1,641$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7e…3e1dbacked Yes | 52c | 1,640$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 78c | 1,536$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.69 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 30c | 1,507$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 51c | 1,498$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.58 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed No | 45c | 1,473$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.73 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Yes | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.55 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…09b3backed Yes | 7c | 1,425$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +146.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 56c | 1,400$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.6 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…4b92backed Yes | 52c | 1,300$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +136.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa549…d17fbacked Yes | 49c | 1,290$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 6c | 1,286$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.98 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…f499backed Yes | 35c | 1,150$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +45%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 33c | 1,125$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.45 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,107$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.12 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd3…f7d3backed Yes | 38c | 1,049$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.41 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a4edbacked Yes | 53c | 1,042$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.86 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 43c | 1,020$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.97 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 55c | 1,012$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,004$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.39 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed Yes | 54c | 1,000$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f0…5d58backed Yes | 54c | 927.18$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 13c | 908$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 37c | 907.39$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.84 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…4832backed Yes | 49c | 822.02$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.02 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Yes | 6c | 800$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.8 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd0…09d3backed Yes | 27c | 758.52$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.52 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +145%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…303fbacked Yes | 27c | 756$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.73 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.42per pick | 43cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…64d1backed No | 44c | 734.64$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 32c | 710.57$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.49 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80bb…e737backed Yes | 17c | 700$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 33c | 687.15$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.2 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 28c | 573.89$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Yes | 21c | 558.6$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.35 | 536 | 39.9%214 W · 322 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 63c | 553.06$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.36 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…f97cbacked Yes | 55c | 550$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa54…c182backed Yes | 13c | 533.05$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.62 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…581abacked Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…a725backed Yes | 25c | 525.8$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 4c | 462.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.41 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f5…dab4backed Yes | 26c | 460.04$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 54c | 449.98$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.44 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424d…c756backed Yes | 38c | 432.27$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2808…16babacked Yes | 56c | 430$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 48c | 429.24$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.94 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…1880backed Yes | 33c | 408.85$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…875cbacked Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed No | 63c | 397.62$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c77…efd5backed Yes | 5c | 395.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +888.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe535…96d3backed Yes | 26c | 387.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c7f9backed No | 47c | 381.9$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.03 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…93ecbacked Yes | 55c | 367.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.65 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781f…6763backed Yes | 17c | 365.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 31c | 363.47$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes | 52c | 359.41$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.44 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…b20dbacked No | 51c | 345$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc49…4589backed Yes | 31c | 317.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…690dbacked Yes | 46c | 308.49$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…1574backed Yes | 34c | 298.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd88f…8d2cbacked Yes | 34c | 298.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…d88bbacked Yes | 17c | 294.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +285.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 17c | 293.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.04 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2601…5d06backed Yes | 14c | 290.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 57c | 263.06$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.06 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Yes | 19c | 261.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.89 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c0…b490backed Yes | 33c | 238.73$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.73 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cf…f9f6backed Yes | 57c | 236.55$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked No | 59c | 233.83$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.39 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked No | 79c | 232.7$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.36 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Yes | 28c | 200$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 American League Championship?this page
- Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2025 American League Championship?No won
- Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 American League Championship?No won
- Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 American League Championship?No won
- Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 American League Championship?No won
- Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 American League Championship?No won
- Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 American League Championship?No won
- Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 American League Championship?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 American League Championship?No won
- Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 American League Championship?No won
- Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 American League Championship?No won
- Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 American League Championship?No won
- Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 American League Championship?No won
- Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 American League Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.