TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfab5…690d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
225
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Commodities, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 35.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT5022%11 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-44.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.78
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.73
Will Iran strike Syria in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.09
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+103.8%+$57.09
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+143.9%+$41.73
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.96
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+426.3%+$89.1
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+181.8%+$152.68
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+138.1%+$34.8
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$242.18
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+283.7%+$400.08
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+30.9%+$24.85
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$41.43
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$287.75
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50.5
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$57.44
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30.86
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT4139%16 W · 25 L-8.8wins-0.22per pick61cpaid-42.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
Premier League — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.92
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$49.53
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+35.1%+$15.81
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$37.69
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$61.8
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$22
West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$27.94
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$54.88
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+44.9%+$22.44
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$59.63
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$23.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$16.94
Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$34.78
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$11.41
Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Everton win on 2025-11-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$49.87
Will Wolves win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+25.2%+$10.06
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2951.7%15 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $100 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.15
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$271.59
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 February 2-8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Solana dip to $110 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$22.82
Will Solana dip to $120 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.2
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will XRP reach $3.40 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$20.33
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+34.4%+$28.22
Will Solana dip to $165 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+48.5%+$19.4
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+52.1%+$27.61
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$13.33
Will Solana dip to $180 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$17.92
Will Solana reach $250 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Will Ethereum reach $4700 September 8–14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ethereum reach $4600 September 8–14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$68
Will Solana reach $240 September 8–14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.4
Will Ethereum dip to $4200 September 1–7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will XRP dip to $2.60 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$28.19
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+37.2%+$37.17
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$40.45
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+40.9%+$31.47
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.4
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1625%4 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.4
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.05
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.08
Will Elon register the America Party in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$12.86
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Israel in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$129
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+78.9%+$152.36
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+117.7%+$64.74
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Japan in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$76
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.18
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$217.54
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 American League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+119.3%+$167.81
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+52.2%+$52.24
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Dodgers vs. Giantsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Dodgers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+72.9%+$111.5
Dodgers vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$24.14
Dodgers vs. Royalsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+86.5%+$53.56
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+437%+$157.33
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$235
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+69%+$186.36
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.15
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$327.04
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$100.65
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$43.75
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.42
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$36
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick66cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Elche CF win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$9.3
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+68.1%+$42.93
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.88
Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$27.3
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Real Betis vs. Girona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+35.2%+$54.83
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-10-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.03
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.29per pick58cpaid+75.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-63.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-57.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win 310 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+41.7%+$20.23
Will the Japan Innovation Party win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$101
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+94.9%+$136.03
Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.05
Han Duck-soo in jail by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$123
Will LDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.49
Will CDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.52
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+44.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+86.8%+$15.63
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+143.2%+$117.26
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
All 4 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$7.47
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+56.3%+$31.87
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+117.4%+$30.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+75.4%+$25.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+63.2%+$19.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+38.7%+$94.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. California-San Diego Tritonsbacked UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+32.2%+$9.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.