Premier League · resolved market
West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5f6e4a2c9d0e9d388a503e39cffa1fed50b64f038f294b50fb188939fd463c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 77c | 7,000$5,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,390 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Over | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 3,835$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.91 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 23c | 2,193$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.21 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Under | 57c | 1,400$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 80c | 1,253$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.01 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 25c | 1,249$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Under | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 897.33$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.6 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 76c | 855.26$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 59c | 847.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.5 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Over | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Over | 26c | 765.73$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.64 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 26c | 600$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…6d3cbacked Under | 77c | 553.77$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.4 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 25c | 514.69$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.02 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked Over | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 26c | 398.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.37 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Under | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -9.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 4c | 375.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 24c | 375$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 32c | 289.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…f9b8backed Over | 30c | 240$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 25c | 188.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over | 35c | 187$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.33 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 44c | 173.95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.79 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 159.58$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.46 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 75c | 149.49$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.12 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…0363backed Over | 24c | 140$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 74c | 135.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 60c | 134$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa34…02c5backed Under | 60c | 128$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 63c | 119$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 47c | 117.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Over | 26c | 86.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.81 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 42c | 74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 41c | 72.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 39c | 72.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…9af5backed Over | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…e77bbacked Under | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa356…b3f8backed Under | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d8…111ebacked Over | 78c | 63.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 57c | 61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 23c | 59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…5f11backed Over | 79c | 56.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Over | 49c | 50.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 61c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over | 25c | 44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…5107backed Under | 44c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…690dbacked Under | 75c | 37.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -8.8wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 76c | 36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…8a8dbacked Over | 77c | 35.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 43c | 31.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c0…d9ffbacked Under | 49c | 28.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…3b00backed Over | 70c | 28.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Under | 75c | 26.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 72c | 26.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…ab6bbacked Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Under | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dda…de29backed Over | 51c | 23.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…f53abacked Over | 79c | 20.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c70…fb28backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6f…e57cbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c4…0f96backed Under | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 76c | 14.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f5…d173backed Under | 76c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)West Ham United FC won
- West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.