TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72c0…d9ff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST180%0 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 19°F or below on January 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 40°F or higher on January 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$33.11
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C on January 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15.62
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or higher on January 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$19.51
Will there be 14 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.22
Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$69.92
Will there be 5-7 inches of snow in D.C. this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.66
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on January 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.65
Will it Snow in Seattle this weekend (January 24 - 26)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C or higher on January 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.24
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on January 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$21.45
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 11°F or below on January 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$27.3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on January 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$23.44
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 36-37°F on January 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16.62
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 88°F or higher on January 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.69
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on January 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$21.47
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on January 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$17.56
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-71.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.63
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.38
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$19.96
Will West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$31.01
Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)backed Sunderland AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$24.9
West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$17.01
West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.95
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+159.7%+$45.76
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+70.5%+$7.39
Utah vs. Predatorsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+42.4%+$7.12
Lightning vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.59
Penguins vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.7
All 4 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruudbacked Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18.9
Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Ethan Quinnbacked Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$52.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.64
Karlsruher SC vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$178.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+61.3%+$45.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Valinor - Game 1 Winnerbacked Valinor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$24.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Buffalo Bullsbacked Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$16.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.