TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, FURIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$167,586
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$183,657

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,586 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked PARIVISION47c19,864$9,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,446.193,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked FURIA61c15,994$9,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,679.0122468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked PARIVISION55c9,136$5,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,133.7415050.7%76 W · 74 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FURIA36c8,707$3,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,144.873,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked FURIA50c8,699$4,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,348.2832548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA19c7,352$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.771,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked FURIA2c6,096$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.6413315.8%21 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed PARIVISION32c5,695$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,895.2634156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed FURIA42c3,170$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.752846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked FURIA28c3,051$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.2922927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA45c2,914$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.042,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked PARIVISION55c2,851$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.5359839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed FURIA60c2,618$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.912941.1%53 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b14…2d9bbacked PARIVISION49c2,435$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.015453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa090…9854backed FURIA63c2,226$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.087238.9%28 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50f9…c327backed PARIVISION48c2,103$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.5217761%108 W · 69 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc330…1667backed FURIA48c2,070$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002650%13 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked PARIVISION30c1,800$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.911452.6%60 W · 54 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed FURIA57c1,741$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.9646149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed PARIVISION23c1,500$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.457322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed FURIA46c1,324$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.838868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed PARIVISION22c1,300$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0201,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed PARIVISION41c1,165$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.2221055.7%117 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed PARIVISION43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.7914532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FURIA46c1,117$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.957,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b0…f139backed FURIA59c999.98$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.996651.5%34 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION51c866.93$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.781,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b4f…a442backed PARIVISION38c798.69$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.692263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+49.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed FURIA60c752.71$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44811940.3%48 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked PARIVISION38c752$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.2426045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4da1…e6dfbacked FURIA59c750$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44310446.2%48 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e19…bbbdbacked FURIA60c712.08$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.9120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa10…3fc9backed FURIA18c696.88$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.072711.1%3 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-73.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed PARIVISION35c694.43$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.715,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed PARIVISION52c682.5$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.1511547%54 W · 61 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed FURIA35c650$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.51,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed FURIA45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27039851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed FURIA52c575.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.7811351.3%58 W · 55 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked PARIVISION26c562.25$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.7252834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked PARIVISION43c556$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.982,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c9c…bcfcbacked PARIVISION42c555.52$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.215255.3%84 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed PARIVISION21c554.98$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.4315743.3%68 W · 89 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed PARIVISION37c537.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.3732653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed PARIVISION54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23022554.2%122 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc598…b4acbacked PARIVISION52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2406237.1%23 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked PARIVISION38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31081244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d69…7e98backed FURIA10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505812.1%7 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5498…126fbacked FURIA79c495.81$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.715151%26 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed FURIA44c450$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19819247.9%92 W · 100 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17ed…c087backed PARIVISION38c400$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.053066.7%20 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed FURIA37c389.84$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.692,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xafa3…0915backed PARIVISION41c365.85$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.854955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed FURIA59c345$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.552142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked FURIA46c338.96$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.632352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x258d…cd31backed FURIA61c329.22$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002548%12 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb855…3332backed PARIVISION47c320.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.249832.7%32 W · 66 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8e…c29ebacked PARIVISION32c313.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.0428143.8%123 W · 158 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed PARIVISION34c305.63$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.031,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c85…26cabacked FURIA69c305.39$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed PARIVISION40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18031444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked PARIVISION40c289.99$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17411631.9%37 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebd7…9ec4backed FURIA18c278.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4de…00b4backed FURIA40c278.12$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1108457.1%48 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9792…9212backed PARIVISION31c257$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.331618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-55.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5114…8346backed PARIVISION39c256.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.472653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed PARIVISION41c256.1$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.137850.3%190 W · 188 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc391…6cc8backed PARIVISION41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.95048%24 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b8…d47dbacked PARIVISION41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.960857.2%348 W · 260 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8210…7348backed FURIA76c236.84$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+48.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed PARIVISION36c215.95$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.951,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ee4…3485backed FURIA38c211.96$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808446.4%39 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed PARIVISION25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1508549.4%42 W · 43 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c27…6964backed PARIVISION42c191.12$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.122860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed PARIVISION31c179.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12560838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fe…54f8backed FURIA62c157.74$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.387843.6%34 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17a7…6df0backed FURIA36c152.07$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dfd…4f13backed FURIA33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1be…a7f6backed PARIVISION22c150$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.52334.8%8 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick20cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed PARIVISION55c145.77$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5644743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed PARIVISION44c143.11$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.636949.3%34 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83fd…2aabbacked FURIA35c142.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8111232.1%36 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42ab…3a19backed PARIVISION42c130.55$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.725345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11ff…4447backed PARIVISION38c130.41$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0410534.3%36 W · 69 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed PARIVISION53c124.49$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.244,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa4…71c5backed PARIVISION21c123.34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.42240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9f…578abacked FURIA38c121$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4413044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed PARIVISION51c118.82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.57255.6%40 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5885…14c1backed FURIA42c118.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa83a…34d6backed PARIVISION22c114.73$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7320332.5%66 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed FURIA35c114.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4023940.2%96 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…8229backed PARIVISION36c110.36$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.368941.6%37 W · 52 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88b5…7b0bbacked FURIA52c110.02$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.310227.5%28 W · 74 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-39.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ba9…8920backed FURIA69c110.02$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.214360.5%26 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf121…6903backed PARIVISION39c108.58$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.572030%6 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed FURIA58c107.14$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.141,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked FURIA43c106.02$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1447738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74e2…89a5backed FURIA71c105.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.523762.2%23 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed FURIA44c102$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.791,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed PARIVISION62c101.59$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8569863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee9d…85f1backed FURIA62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.