TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc598…b4ac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Lol, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 52 out of 100; worst Asian League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST6237.1%23 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Falcons win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$69.88
Counter-Strike: G2 vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$2,215.25
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,574Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$2,573.98
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,608Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,607.74
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$641Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$640.84
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$644.4
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$382.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$312.33
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$224.99
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$264
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+30.3%+$198.23
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+138.1%+$116
Counter-Strike: NRG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+177.8%+$448
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$392
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$186
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28.01
Counter-Strike: SIXSEVEN vs Metizport (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stagebacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$8.55
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stagebacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+566.7%+$255
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffsbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$195
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+88.7%+$282
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Acend (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group Bbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+185.7%+$38.36
Counter-Strike: Fingers Crossed vs Metizport (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stagebacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$420
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$678.13
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$205
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$117.63
Will China join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$62.04
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$49.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$879Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+108.5%+$953.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$103.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. FC Metz: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$16.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Internazionale Milano vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$42.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.