Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will St Mirren FC win on 2026-01-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc476cb57a2a97d7f77181ae7a913afcce1eae6ed0bc10d03626f856b02e027e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 33c | 3,357$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.71 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 1,808$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.47 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…419dbacked No | 74c | 1,103$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,052$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.75 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 13c | 899.97$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 46c | 680.03$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.07 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 35c | 546.38$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.77 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 11c | 531.75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 20c | 465.03$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.74 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 56c | 443.58$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.05 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 13c | 420.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 358.04$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 24c | 270.74$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 109 | 20.2%22 W · 87 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Yes | 35c | 227.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.52 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +11.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 26c | 218.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 13c | 168.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 30c | 162.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 12c | 141$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 54c | 135.11$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc598…b4acbacked Yes | 12c | 116.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…6a2abacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 42c | 81.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 35c | 75.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 68c | 51.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 67c | 46.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed No | 65c | 15.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will St Mirren FC win on 2026-01-14?this page
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. St Mirren FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-01-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.