CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98641f6a48938e4bd4e09a2e30b9a0dfd349df343c4c4563f6b122d632c8b9ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FORZE Reloadof Favbet, FORZE Reload
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab25…5666backed Favbet | 0c | 10,503$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed Favbet | 66c | 4,388$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,896.13 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Favbet | 36c | 2,461$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.08 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked FORZE Reload | 34c | 2,282$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.35 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Favbet | 66c | 2,253$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.2 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked FORZE Reload | 42c | 1,778$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.42 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed FORZE Reload | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Favbet | 65c | 1,258$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.96 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed FORZE Reload | 34c | 894.12$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.12 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FORZE Reload | 56c | 835.3$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.3 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked FORZE Reload | 64c | 718.44$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.84 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked FORZE Reload | 36c | 617.72$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.53 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed FORZE Reload | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed FORZE Reload | 34c | 452.06$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.36 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed FORZE Reload | 34c | 400.41$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.27 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Favbet | 34c | 376.88$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.59 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a3…60a2backed Favbet | 36c | 302.78$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc598…b4acbacked FORZE Reload | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…2149backed FORZE Reload | 34c | 258.82$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.82 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60c0…db84backed Favbet | 24c | 249.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked FORZE Reload | 34c | 240$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc2…9c0dbacked FORZE Reload | 80c | 214.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Favbet | 11c | 169.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…0e7dbacked FORZE Reload | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Favbet | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked FORZE Reload | 42c | 126.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.19 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Favbet | 41c | 108.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Favbet | 62c | 101.12$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe321…bc47backed Favbet | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Favbet | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Favbet | 15c | 86.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed FORZE Reload | 28c | 86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62c…01c4backed FORZE Reload | 27c | 64.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5c…8fcfbacked Favbet | 66c | 63.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked FORZE Reload | 37c | 61.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed FORZE Reload | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed FORZE Reload | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed FORZE Reload | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…77bdbacked FORZE Reload | 42c | 44.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Favbet | 55c | 43.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FORZE Reload | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed FORZE Reload | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…3398backed Favbet | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6760…3ad4backed FORZE Reload | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00db…4be2backed FORZE Reload | 58c | 34.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b0…15e1backed Favbet | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…5399backed Favbet | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d9…ef5bbacked Favbet | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Favbet vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Favbet vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 WinnerFavbet won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.