NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe55dfca02ff98d5be4b17c8927e1a84c3a6b930b68b9c2046bfdcb5d719de278
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 8,772$4,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,809.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 44c | 7,016$3,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,958.54 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 49c | 3,884$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.2 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851e…5795backed Under | 48c | 3,882$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 54c | 3,800$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.95 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…e4a1backed Under | 48c | 3,629$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd1…a538backed Over | 52c | 3,278$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf616…575fbacked Over | 52c | 3,148$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ba…520ebacked Over | 52c | 3,044$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7539…54f0backed Over | 52c | 2,452$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 50c | 2,134$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.63 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 2,048$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.1 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 55c | 1,462$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.17 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f81…832cbacked Over | 52c | 1,449$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6839…7ddfbacked Over | 52c | 1,367$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 1,359$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.89 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9613…d96dbacked Over | 52c | 1,316$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb360…9414backed Under | 48c | 1,294$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…cd26backed Over | 52c | 1,234$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…c072backed Under | 48c | 1,173$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56e5…a00abacked Under | 48c | 1,126$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…1fdfbacked Under | 48c | 1,120$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x676c…3f77backed Over | 52c | 1,117$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe696…03f1backed Under | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…3250backed Under | 48c | 1,045$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…96aebacked Over | 52c | 1,028$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…2aa3backed Under | 48c | 972$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5750…a2dbbacked Under | 48c | 895$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…623ebacked Under | 48c | 864$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…96d4backed Under | 48c | 826$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…6523backed Under | 48c | 817$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3b…444cbacked Under | 48c | 740$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 45c | 676.17$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.62 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Under | 50c | 560$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 277.31$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.02 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 251.46$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.76 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 44c | 225.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.17 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 44c | 219$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.64 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc598…b4acbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +12.1wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 52c | 147.06$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Over | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…ed58backed Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 48c | 116.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Over | 48c | 60.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9050…0a7abacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…1872backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 55c | 49.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 49c | 47.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 58c | 40.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 58c | 37.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 45c | 37.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 56c | 28.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7081…2d9cbacked Over | 60c | 21.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…9ddfbacked Over | 49c | 20.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 57c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-1.5)Bulls won
- Jazz vs. BullsBulls won
- Jazz vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Jazz vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Bulls: O/U 247.5Over won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Bulls (-4.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.