TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9050…0a7a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
205
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst WNBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT18354.1%99 W · 84 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 183 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$6.58
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+72.2%+$194.87
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100.2
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$22.97
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+60.7%+$91
Bulls vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$148
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Jazz vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+66.8%+$133.67
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+125.7%+$94.25
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$165
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$27.47
Spurs vs. 76ersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$70.27
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$47.37
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$86.7
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$77.14
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Showing 25 of 183 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. South Florida Bullsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+48.4%+$24.18
Little Rock Trojans vs. Southeast Missouri State Redhawksbacked Little Rock Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14.41
UNCW Seahawks vs. William & Mary Tribebacked UNCW Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.28
Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$70.64
UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Utah Tech Trailblazersbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$34.5
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Boston Terriersbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+124.4%+$18.65
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+170.3%+$42.57
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+86.6%+$21.25
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+41.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.56
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9.62
Oilers vs. Blackhawksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+53.6%+$12.73
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+163.2%+$35.62
All 4 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.