Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3d3321ff98c6e76990d0fd9dd28def065e6ed0a0801d17f2d973c5be3d7f719
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EDward Gamingof EDward Gaming, ThunderTalk Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf70d…ef69backed EDward Gaming | 51c | 7,845$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,844.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…2454backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 49c | 7,845$3,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,844.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…6ae2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 4,317$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…04e7backed EDward Gaming | 50c | 4,294$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 49c | 3,813$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.11 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…8536backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked EDward Gaming | 50c | 1,991$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.71 | 203 | 48.8%99 W · 104 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed EDward Gaming | 50c | 1,802$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.96 | 219 | 39.3%86 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed EDward Gaming | 51c | 1,254$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.58 | 431 | 51.3%221 W · 210 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed EDward Gaming | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 1,017$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.72 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked EDward Gaming | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 969.8$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.9 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed EDward Gaming | 51c | 900$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 736$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ad…29b8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 49c | 588$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 540.08$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.81 | 234 | 39.7%93 W · 141 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 538.39$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.43 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 515$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.6 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 675 | 49%331 W · 344 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed EDward Gaming | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…e6d1backed EDward Gaming | 51c | 392$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0453…463bbacked EDward Gaming | 50c | 198$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed EDward Gaming | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…2f5abacked EDward Gaming | 51c | 196$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb8…233cbacked EDward Gaming | 51c | 196$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8167…c580backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 49c | 196$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked EDward Gaming | 53c | 86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1343…19a2backed EDward Gaming | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…928cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 59c | 51.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…9898backed EDward Gaming | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -6.6wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa179…8645backed EDward Gaming | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 170 | 38.2%65 W · 105 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9050…0a7abacked EDward Gaming | 52c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed EDward Gaming | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked EDward Gaming | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…d630backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group PerseveranceEDward Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 WinnerEDward Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.