TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeeb8…233c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 53 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clemson Tigers vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+132.6%+$49.59
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Texas State Bobcats (W)backed Texas State Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30.48
Tarleton State Texans vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds (W)backed Tarleton State Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20.79
Spread: Houston Christian Huskies (-1.5)backed Nicholls Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$49.59
Spread: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (-4.5)backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+106.9%+$100.22
Spread: Southern Jaguars (-3.5)backed Texas Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.5
Morgan State Bears vs. North Carolina Central Eagles: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+273.9%+$105.49
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (W)backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+120.1%+$211.69
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Syracuse Orangebacked Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$99.28
Hofstra Pride vs. Towson Tigers (W)backed Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.32
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas A&M Aggiesbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$21.78
Texas Longhorns vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$42.6
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Blood in Game 1?backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+92.3%+$91.2
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.7
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$49.59
Game Handicap: DNS.C (-1.5) vs DRX Challengers (+1.5)backed DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$49.82
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+138.1%+$49.88
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$99.68
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.04
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$39.33
Game Handicap: DNS.C (-1.5) vs T1 Academy (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+334.8%+$99.33
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.25
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$99.45
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FUSION vs Contra (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stagebacked Contra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$49.38
Map Handicap: KRÜ Spark (-1.5) vs ALT F4 (+1.5)backed ALT F4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.12
Valorant: LAZER vs LYON - Map 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+29.9%+$14.72
Valorant: Chivas Esports vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stagebacked Chivas Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+244.8%+$49.7
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.16
Map Handicap: FPX (-1.5)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$26.46
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$75.25
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$54.56
All 8 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+38.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+76%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zuffa Boxing 3: Woods vs. Beuke (Middleweight, Main)backed Woods · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50.57
Zuffa Boxing 3: Molina vs. Clark (Lightweight, Main)backed Molina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20.3
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 22.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$29.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+156.4%+$26.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NEOM SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+43.1%+$5.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$24.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Prizefighter' - Mumford and Sons debut week album sales be less than 200k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$44.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on January 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$99.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.