Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b3de3e765536a87a6bb934f80e93d986ba42398250a589ca68375cbe38009a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim RedForceof Nongshim RedForce, Team Secret
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Nongshim RedForce | 68c | 681.55$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.1 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Secret | 34c | 643.01$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.12 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1e…2f5abacked Team Secret | 44c | 356$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.64 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8143…9698backed Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 356$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…e6babacked Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 356$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8167…c580backed Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 178$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…7c81backed Team Secret | 44c | 178$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…e6d1backed Team Secret | 44c | 178$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked Team Secret | 15c | 164.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Team Secret | 46c | 151.53$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb8…233cbacked Team Secret | 44c | 124$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Secret | 61c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nongshim RedForce | 51c | 81.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Nongshim RedForce | 30c | 65.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…f692backed Team Secret | 44c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…7e98backed Nongshim RedForce | 33c | 52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…5366backed Nongshim RedForce | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Nongshim RedForce | 75c | 25.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret (BO3)Nongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret - Map 1 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.