TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2b59…e6ba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Valorant, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$37.41
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$81
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$49.59
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+138.1%+$49.88
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+127.3%+$99.68
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$114.08
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.16
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.55
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.04
Game Handicap: DNS.C (-1.5) vs T1 Academy (+1.5)backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$252.56
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13.43
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3)backed Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$99.4
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+26.6%+$26.46
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+270.4%+$99.28
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick46cpaid-82.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Morgan State Bears vs. North Carolina Central Eagles: O/U 154.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$96.89
Coppin State Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (W)backed UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$53.07
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Syracuse Orangebacked Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$198.56
Lipscomb Bisons vs. Stetson Hatters (W)backed Stetson Hatters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+37%+$73.44
Texas Longhorns vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$127.8
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked Pittsburgh Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$85.1
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.32
All 8 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+88.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+302.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-49.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$49.8
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+61.3%+$234.08
O/U 0.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+25%+$25
All 3 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.57
Will Solana dip to $90 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: A&F (-1.5) vs Team Essence (+1.5)backed Team Essence · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$62.3
Dota 2: Execration vs KUKUYS V2 - Game 2 Winnerbacked KUKUYS V2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$34.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,011.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Hazem SC vs. Damac Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$189.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Prizefighter' - Mumford and Sons debut week album sales be less than 200k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+44.9%+$22.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 6% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zuffa Boxing 3: Woods vs. Beuke (Middleweight, Main)backed Woods · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$97.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.