Earnings · resolved market
Will Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb63c13fdf411dfed81010c3de36554e5f9691798bb57fce7654645851f16ceb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b79…6f9dbacked Yes | 70c | 1,910$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.13 | 263 | 50.2%132 W · 131 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf44…4d45backed Yes | 69c | 1,807$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.02 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…1342backed No | 38c | 1,591$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9024backed No | 25c | 1,455$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.31 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 52c | 1,387$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.76 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 26c | 972.76$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.92 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 34c | 871.57$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.8 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed Yes | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…36b9backed Yes | 75c | 796.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…5d91backed Yes | 73c | 572.67$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.67 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…7690backed Yes | 73c | 518.86$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 27c | 512.66$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.66 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…2dcfbacked No | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 76c | 402$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.48 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked No | 26c | 276.92$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 76c | 273.75$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.44 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 28c | 249.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb102…c73dbacked No | 27c | 214.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…684dbacked No | 38c | 209.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 59c | 208.11$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.81 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 29c | 206.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c83…0f55backed Yes | 64c | 200.31$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 64c | 198.76$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.13 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 31c | 191.88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 76c | 180$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 72c | 174.7$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 55c | 168.89$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.18 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370b…5f2cbacked No | 30c | 166.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 36cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…67b6backed Yes | 72c | 158.33$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8547…39abbacked No | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…ad59backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6799…1047backed Yes | 72c | 139.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…bf68backed Yes | 73c | 137.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -8.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 23c | 132$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.64 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa195…24fcbacked Yes | 38c | 131.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.86 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…8909backed Yes | 74c | 125.07$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 24c | 118.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9077…9c3fbacked No | 31c | 117$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes | 75c | 111$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30d…d71fbacked No | 38c | 110.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 49c | 107$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…ddd5backed Yes | 68c | 104.31$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…5845backed Yes | 70c | 104$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…7e87backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a0…7fd7backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae7…80fcbacked No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…5593backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…a1a7backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8143…9698backed No | 42c | 98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…61f1backed No | 31c | 97.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…5c52backed No | 31c | 96.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +211.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…23dfbacked No | 27c | 94.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 55c | 89.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…e6babacked No | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…e6d1backed Yes | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc832…ed2bbacked No | 25c | 77.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 31c | 77.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…36b7backed No | 32c | 76.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 87 | 72.4%63 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23eb…c516backed No | 22c | 73.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19c9…9171backed Yes | 73c | 71.1$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8167…c580backed Yes | 31c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…e220backed Yes | 78c | 69.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +273.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed No | 37c | 69.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4670…5f1cbacked Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…5554backed Yes | 73c | 62.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71be…61a0backed Yes | 66c | 61.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa6…0a65backed Yes | 29c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…7f28backed No | 38c | 53.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…e862backed Yes | 47c | 52.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…d0d5backed Yes | 74c | 52.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…fb06backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 29 | 89.7%26 W · 3 L | +7.2wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…1a9bbacked No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f7…e2e5backed Yes | 72c | 49.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…ee3fbacked Yes | 53c | 47.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…b9bcbacked Yes | 73c | 43.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 32c | 43.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbf…1ec6backed Yes | 73c | 41.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…838bbacked Yes | 31c | 40.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…799abacked Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…f1cdbacked Yes | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed Yes | 50c | 39.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 303 | 15.2%46 W · 257 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 61c | 37.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…8f65backed Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4f8cbacked Yes | 74c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f19…bf1ebacked Yes | 64c | 31.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…ece9backed Yes | 46c | 30.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…53e3backed Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…5f3ebacked Yes | 67c | 29.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 64c | 29.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1756…c84dbacked Yes | 73c | 28.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24b…752abacked Yes | 70c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b30…2209backed Yes | 74c | 28.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ef14backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb62f…6a2bbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f82…1788backed Yes | 73c | 27.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.