TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1b4b…b93c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
824
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 56 out of 100; worst Earnings at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT11424.6%28 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 114 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.58
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.12
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$37.52
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.93
Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.65
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.36
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$156.87
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+203%+$670
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+323.3%+$2,091.83
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+284.6%+$88.8
L.A. U-Haul attack perp charged with terrorism?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.03
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$945
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+251.2%+$627.05
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+310.6%+$288.21
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$61.5
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.79
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$495.52
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+170.3%+$281.75
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$49.4
Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15.95
Showing 25 of 114 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10827.8%30 W · 78 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Stocks — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+775%+$942.4
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+145.7%+$39.3
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.91
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 4% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $100 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$11.2
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $405 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+270.4%+$109.5
Will Meta (META) close above $800 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $465 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Meta dip to $590 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.76
Will Amazon reach $268 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Will Amazon dip to $224 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13.86
Will Amazon dip to $216 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$24.64
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$32.18
Will NVIDIA dip to $176 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$53.64
Will Microsoft reach $510 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$28.54
Will Microsoft reach $495 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$18.82
Will Tesla dip to $405 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$57.74
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$51.56
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+37.6%+$13.96
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $495 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$18.86
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $465 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$22.96
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 26 – Jan 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12.06
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+151.5%+$103.19
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$14.36
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST9321.5%20 W · 73 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+1,660.3%+$177.4
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.96
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+132.6%+$24.87
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$31.5
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$19.19
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.56
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.58
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.87
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.99
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$246.51
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+230.6%+$156.24
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.64
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100.8%+$75.19
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18.49
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18.94
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$24.25
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$312.36
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$18.39
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+360.5%+$58.26
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.73
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT5831%18 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.38
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.3
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.98
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$110.5
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$33
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+669.2%+$174
Will "M3GAN 2.0" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$89.76
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$83.09
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$63.67
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$380
Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+42.5%+$6.9
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 8.5m and 9.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.26
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 11m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$46.65
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+27.7%+$26.37
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$45.58
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+541.4%+$72.44
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+63.5%+$45.99
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 16m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+206.7%+$57.29
Will "His & Hers" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will "11.22.63" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+119.4%+$53.77
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$42.96
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT5416.7%9 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.08
Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.62
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$45.9
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.08
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.66
Will ETHGAS launch a token by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25.6
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+136.6%+$161.08
Over $16M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$92.95
alon called coin FDV above $1M one day after the call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+85.2%+$142.08
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+210.6%+$659.85
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$238.92
Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$111.92
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+181.7%+$230.27
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16.35
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$477.26
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$83.73
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$822Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$822.11
Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$78.59
Over $180M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$74.97
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,104.34
Over $12M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$160.34
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$21.71
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$238.32
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5318.9%10 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-53.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.22
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Spain join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Will India join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.82
Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will Sweden join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.5
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.63
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.3%+$56.82
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.84
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the February Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+143.9%+$32.4
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+200%+$84.09
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$44.71
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+426.3%+$81
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26.8
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$174.23
Will Russia enter Toretske by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT4211.9%5 W · 37 L-6.1wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-47.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Earnings — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.92
Will Dollar Tree (DLTR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.15
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.63
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.31
Will Applovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Hilton Worldwide (HLT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$22.01
Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.3
Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will TPG (TPG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.32
Will ConocoPhillips (COP) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Will U-Haul (UHAL.B) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.95
Will New York Times Company (NYT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.12
Will Yum! Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Will Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$54.57
Will Uber Technologies (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+233.3%+$23.8
Will CME Group (CME) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
Will Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$19.04
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$244.15
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+316.7%+$52
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.64
Will Union Pacific (UNP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16.82
Will United Bankshares (UBSI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$32.81
Will Procter & Gamble (PG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$34.01
Will Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$43.68
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3724.3%9 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+31.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.38
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$22.85
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.26
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.07
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.94
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.68
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.04
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+821.6%+$249
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+344.4%+$86.8
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$322
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$36.38
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$47.05
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23.52
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+229.2%+$40.38
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$59.59
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,400 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$73.09
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$96.99
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$47.24
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$188.76
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14.11
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$20.16
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.63
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$12.04
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.76
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+526.4%+$238.27
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+1,771.5%+$446.78
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27.44
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$38.82
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Google Gemini Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.74
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+96.2%+$68.93
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+107.3%+$258.22
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.62
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$87.98
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$24.08
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$58.26
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$13.65
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Grok 4.20 released by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+28%+$6.38
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55.58
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$67.95
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16.64
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14.8
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11.18
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3435.3%12 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+76.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.88
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$80.4
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$71.68
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+545.2%+$101.4
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.19
Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.82
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$23.31
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 165 and 179 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.83
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$18.78
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$22.76
Will People’s Party (PPLE) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+270.4%+$50.37
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$44.27
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+185.7%+$40.3
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+323.4%+$1,297.4
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$52.54
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+29.9%+$69
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$519.2
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 65% and 70%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$31.77
Will André Ventura win less than 16% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Luís Marques Mendes win less than 16% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+2,400%+$288
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$278.06
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT3321.2%7 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$102.87
Will there be nine or ten announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.28
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+188.5%+$28.75
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.39
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+240.3%+$35.31
Will Trump say "Peanut" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$75.56
Maduro mugshot released by January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$46.41
Machado wears a dress or skirt during next Trump meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$68.4
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$838Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$838.25
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$82.71
Will Trump say "Invest" or "Investment" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$93.96
Will Trump say "Oil" 15+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Trump say "Gallon" or "Barrel" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$26.13
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$130.38
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$26.63
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$811Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+29.1%+$235.82
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$54.6
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$137.8
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$36.4
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$261.12
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+843.5%+$904.92
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$146.32
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.68
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Peter Attia be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.62
Will Maggie Hassan vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.26
Will Chris Coons vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.84
Will Chuck Schumer vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.5
Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.42
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$30
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.33
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.1
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$115.22
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$29.2
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$36
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+303.6%+$542.37
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$105.36
Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+320.8%+$51.84
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20.1
Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+43.9%+$13.42
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.84
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.74
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5.5
Will Epstein Data Set 9 be released before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$37.9
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60.9
Trump-Epstein Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.11
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$41.6
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 27, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+216.5%+$334.05
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-74.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.7
Stefon Diggs in jail by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.96
Will Jim Harbaugh be fired by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.14
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$33.56
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+65.5%+$8.89
Will Super Bowl LX have between 136M and 140M viewers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.78
Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18.91
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19.7
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$22.41
Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.25
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$98.44
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will New England face Los Angeles R in Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.24
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.73
Will Buffalo face Los Angeles R in Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$22.36
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$29.21
Will LAR/CHI/JAX/PHI/LAC/HOU win their 2026 NFL Wild Card round games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$36.25
Will the Indianapolis Colts make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$11.76
Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 22 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-45.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$10.73
Will Jon Gray-Ginsberg win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.29
Will Kevin Hern be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.5
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
Will Zach Wahls be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$6.71
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.93
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Kyle Duyck win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.89
Will Ken McFeeters win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.52
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$109.5
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.02
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 75% by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.4
2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds over 30% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$57.03
Will Cornyn flip Paxton for Texas Rep Senate Primary Winner by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.23
All 18 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.18
Megaquake by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.26
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.2
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$22.42
Will there be 14 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$58.66
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.06
Will there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.84
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 48-49°F on January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$33.55
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or below on January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20.57
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+257.1%+$468
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$181.97
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30.21
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+354.5%+$78
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$120.2
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$225
All 17 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+78.5%+$84.16
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$41.51
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–3.00 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$109.92
Will a dozen eggs cost <$2.50 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+43.9%+$34.16
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.76
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+186%+$75.45
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.65
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+44.7%+$6.85
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$53.55
Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.03
Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$18.99
Will annual inflation increase by between 30% and 32.9% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$27.2
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$37.42
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.00–3.25 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$36.46
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8.4
All 16 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.61
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+515.3%+$1,142.55
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$66.3
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$119.91
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$62.17
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$128.31
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.1m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.3m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$165.35
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+27.7%+$57.19
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$48
All 13 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-59.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Will ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be less than 150k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$28.16
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16.16
Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$32.97
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$43.06
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+28.7%+$12.49
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$29.61
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+257.1%+$40.32
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 20 minutes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.68
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 23 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.48
Will Drake's next album debut No.1 on Billboard 200?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.24
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$47.95
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+61.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.43
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+519.5%+$257.66
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+34%+$203
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+218.2%+$274.29
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+184.9%+$153.16
Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+195.4%+$30.42
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+25%+$60
Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19.49
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Fed Derivative: "No Change" flips "25bps cut" by December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$28.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+92.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$97.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vitality Dominates HLTV Awards Parlay backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.