Boxing · resolved market
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ae0f0d0f91a9491980c302502dc763626ec140a620a3a8018107a42fcdf5318
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,785,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,937,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,785,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked No | 12c | 137,079$16,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,508.82 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 2c | 95,229$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.65 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9604…fc1dbacked No | 2c | 64,295$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 4c | 61,400$2,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.22 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed No | 19c | 38,521$7,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,415.72 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb902…6b54backed Yes | 79c | 36,001$28,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,441.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…7585backed No | 6c | 32,931$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 15c | 30,736$4,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,718.81 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…da62backed No | 2c | 30,582$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Yes | 79c | 18,500$14,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,885 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…5319backed No | 2c | 17,622$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c6…4710backed No | 17c | 17,162$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 7c | 13,206$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.51 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 13c | 12,679$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2a…534ebacked No | 3c | 11,953$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 5c | 11,888$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.5 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb683…af54backed No | 16c | 11,241$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.51 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked No | 4c | 10,439$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 10,138$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.61 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed No | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 8c | 10,000$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 80c | 9,620$7,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked No | 7c | 9,072$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.47 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 2c | 9,000$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +896.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 18c | 8,799$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.96 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa881…cd20backed No | 0c | 8,753$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 1cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 12c | 8,635$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…2ae0backed No | 3c | 8,209$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…ae7ebacked No | 2c | 7,847$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed No | 4c | 5,724$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 3c | 5,063$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.13 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 15c | 4,996$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 28cpaid | +215.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…1d25backed No | 15c | 4,610$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acd…c079backed No | 4c | 4,421$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb44f…8c20backed No | 4c | 4,231$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 7cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 3c | 3,728$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.42 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 10c | 3,600$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.83 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 13c | 3,536$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.19 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…4e69backed No | 3c | 3,386$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…bdb0backed No | 20c | 3,211$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.34 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 4c | 3,171$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.67 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…4030backed No | 20c | 3,104$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 4c | 3,012$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.13 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f3…38c9backed No | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…56a5backed No | 14c | 2,945$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.02 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…0af9backed No | 2c | 2,822$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 3c | 2,789$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.07 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8416…a9b4backed No | 2c | 2,740$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 16c | 2,650$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc612…7d6dbacked No | 16c | 2,621$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25a…7f82backed No | 4c | 2,600$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…158bbacked No | 3c | 2,559$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked No | 18c | 2,536$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…b165backed No | 15c | 2,505$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917c…66f2backed No | 5c | 2,229$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe61…4665backed No | 6c | 2,216$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda9d…226cbacked No | 16c | 2,125$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5e…6764backed No | 2c | 2,090$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbead…e43dbacked No | 2c | 2,065$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3c…8727backed No | 2c | 2,049$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1515…4320backed No | 3c | 2,036$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0793…15e8backed No | 6c | 1,800$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa96e…e7f9backed No | 4c | 1,769$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed No | 4c | 1,737$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a0…2dc6backed No | 3c | 1,687$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9d5abacked No | 21c | 1,667$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f5…c967backed No | 6c | 1,632$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05b…7ba9backed No | 3c | 1,615$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7277…a487backed No | 24c | 1,600$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 15c | 1,563$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.22 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc795…6b62backed No | 2c | 1,500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…1265backed No | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecea…889abacked No | 5c | 1,495$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae6…a39fbacked No | 18c | 1,447$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…beb5backed No | 2c | 1,429$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb265…782cbacked No | 16c | 1,400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…b3febacked No | 22c | 1,363$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed No | 2c | 1,349$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 19cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed Yes | 77c | 1,308$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…7928backed No | 4c | 1,300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…a777backed No | 3c | 1,298$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed No | 12c | 1,238$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 3c | 1,224$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed No | 37c | 1,220$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked No | 7c | 1,158$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked No | 3c | 1,153$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2341…3535backed No | 16c | 1,100$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe93…810abacked No | 3c | 1,070$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa2…d5edbacked No | 15c | 1,025$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked No | 3c | 1,022$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c86…9da2backed No | 10c | 1,010$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…0923backed No | 4c | 1,001$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 5c | 1,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…5cedbacked No | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -78%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…e6f2backed No | 11c | 999.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 3c | 989.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 3c | 978.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?this page
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?No won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million?No won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?No won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.