Boxing · resolved market
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b37dde4873b7fabae258e0f95f8cf59fe7820e60bd1d46232adb5cffafdea7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,160,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,340,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,160,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9604…fc1dbacked No | 2c | 96,071$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked No | 6c | 71,558$4,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,437.05 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 4c | 29,781$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.7 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed No | 11c | 24,093$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605.61 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa3…c91ebacked No | 6c | 21,321$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed No | 11c | 14,999$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 6c | 14,746$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.7 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked No | 7c | 12,876$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.94 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…ae7ebacked No | 2c | 12,427$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…7585backed No | 5c | 10,076$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 5c | 10,048$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.5 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…e7d9backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 3c | 8,798$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.07 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 11c | 6,499$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.87 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb44f…8c20backed No | 3c | 6,309$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 7cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…a777backed No | 1c | 6,303$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…56a5backed No | 5c | 5,864$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.2 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 2c | 5,846$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.01 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 6c | 5,569$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.47 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa881…cd20backed No | 0c | 5,251$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 1cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…0622backed No | 3c | 5,149$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.93 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…4e69backed No | 2c | 4,897$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 2c | 4,658$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.64 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 3c | 4,494$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.43 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb683…af54backed No | 12c | 4,190$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.94 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…4030backed No | 12c | 4,124$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 1c | 3,721$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb357…b99cbacked No | 1c | 3,714$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +209.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xced9…fca2backed No | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…deaebacked No | 6c | 3,040$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…00f8backed No | 2c | 2,837$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8065…99e7backed No | 2c | 2,759$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…ff1fbacked No | 2c | 2,713$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 2c | 2,622$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…6d72backed No | 2c | 2,576$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8a…dc7bbacked No | 2c | 2,523$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc8…cd76backed No | 1c | 2,405$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed No | 2c | 2,256$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 3c | 2,179$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.76 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b7…42f6backed No | 4c | 2,116$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…cc11backed No | 5c | 2,115$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77fd…b6c8backed No | 6c | 2,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 9c | 1,863$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb1…61a4backed No | 3c | 1,858$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5059…3d42backed No | 2c | 1,763$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab08…7596backed No | 2c | 1,653$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed No | 2c | 1,640$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 3c | 1,577$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53d…5882backed No | 5c | 1,540$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 10c | 1,500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…482bbacked No | 4c | 1,441$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…bcadbacked No | 6c | 1,400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7449…2066backed No | 2c | 1,380$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05b…7ba9backed No | 4c | 1,343$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 6c | 1,336$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc7…302dbacked No | 2c | 1,314$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed No | 3c | 1,269$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 19cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x886a…17b6backed No | 3c | 1,239$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…e067backed No | 8c | 1,182$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9d5abacked No | 13c | 1,154$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 6c | 1,101$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fec…728ebacked No | 11c | 1,100$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d9…f971backed No | 5c | 1,064$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 1c | 1,027$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 3c | 1,025$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 36cpaid | +121.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x48f3…104fbacked No | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…b648backed No | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…d03dbacked No | 2c | 1,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…5cedbacked No | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -78%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3157…4660backed No | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked No | 6c | 999.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +431.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…3779backed No | 13c | 999.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 6c | 999.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 31cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ee…2197backed No | 1c | 998.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…2643backed No | 3c | 979.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 1c | 929.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…2ccfbacked No | 6c | 902.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked No | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…108ebacked No | 3c | 820$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…36b8backed No | 7c | 800$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked No | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +125.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked No | 13c | 800$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 6c | 799.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5110…ef43backed No | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…0af9backed No | 2c | 700$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa324…faf9backed No | 2c | 700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 2c | 636.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 7c | 600$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +111%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed No | 4c | 599.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -19%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…ab7fbacked No | 5c | 595.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1585…8bbbbacked No | 4c | 591.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…bdb0backed No | 16c | 576$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…a568backed No | 4c | 573.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3da…d974backed No | 11c | 555.73$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0d…466dbacked No | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?this page
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?No won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million?No won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?No won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.