Boxing · resolved market
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46b2bf8cd2b4558d30f7dee7b09abf3666ea964fe2f7de33f922629159f2d9db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,075,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,161,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,075,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 736 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked No | 1c | 70,183$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 1c | 64,350$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.41 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…6ca1backed Yes | 72c | 25,783$18,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,155.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…2fd7backed Yes | 61c | 19,710$12,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,610.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +214.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed No | 39c | 17,651$6,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,816.05 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 69c | 17,157$11,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,301.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed No | 0c | 15,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked No | 30c | 13,543$4,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,082.16 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 62c | 13,243$8,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,093.38 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…bdb0backed No | 42c | 12,754$5,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,353.03 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed No | 10c | 12,232$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb683…af54backed No | 33c | 12,033$3,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,946.17 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…f064backed No | 21c | 11,911$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,514.04 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…b562backed No | 32c | 11,202$3,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,639.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af5…2470backed Yes | 76c | 11,028$8,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,628.98 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 74c | 11,003$8,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,864.69 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…99ddbacked Yes | 73c | 10,922$8,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…7febbacked No | 19c | 10,800$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 40c | 10,709$4,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,328.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaae…4da8backed Yes | 59c | 10,065$5,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed No | 2c | 10,000$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.27 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 0c | 9,800$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163f…1845backed No | 27c | 9,800$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,643.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…14bebacked No | 11c | 9,346$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed No | 39c | 8,999$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…ae7ebacked No | 28c | 8,993$2,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…56a5backed No | 33c | 8,691$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,881.71 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 65c | 8,500$5,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…bb48backed Yes | 61c | 8,352$5,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,285.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…85b9backed Yes | 61c | 8,199$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,198.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2a…534ebacked No | 36c | 8,081$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc8…cd76backed Yes | 73c | 7,752$5,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Yes | 60c | 6,829$4,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +325.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 72c | 6,760$4,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.9 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c9…1b1abacked Yes | 62c | 6,503$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +204.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d80…c953backed Yes | 60c | 6,336$3,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +437.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aca…ef71backed Yes | 68c | 6,012$4,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4489…2452backed No | 37c | 5,600$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 62c | 5,257$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 24cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…7137backed No | 24c | 5,139$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 18c | 5,000$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked No | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…f99fbacked Yes | 69c | 4,684$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed No | 42c | 4,613$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b2…4486backed Yes | 80c | 4,568$3,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 32cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes | 65c | 4,197$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 10c | 3,976$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.54 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe379…3c98backed Yes | 62c | 3,813$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.81 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dd…17b9backed No | 28c | 3,682$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0376…da89backed Yes | 73c | 3,530$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 36c | 3,476$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.22 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked No | 21c | 3,450$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb219…7f30backed Yes | 72c | 3,320$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…5319backed No | 10c | 3,153$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…bfd9backed Yes | 62c | 3,123$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed No | 1c | 3,057$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…aaf9backed No | 37c | 3,000$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 64c | 3,000$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.4 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 51cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0782…b17bbacked No | 18c | 3,000$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…65e5backed Yes | 75c | 2,952$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548b…8390backed Yes | 73c | 2,951$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4da…9397backed Yes | 73c | 2,950$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed71…d7cebacked No | 38c | 2,899$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 75c | 2,858$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.21 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…4e69backed No | 8c | 2,845$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed No | 40c | 2,805$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.52 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…4030backed No | 39c | 2,754$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…b648backed No | 33c | 2,705$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc483…8ac8backed Yes | 65c | 2,700$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.52 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +338.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…7a45backed Yes | 68c | 2,550$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 66c | 2,496$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 28cpaid | +215.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…68f4backed No | 40c | 2,444$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 64c | 2,405$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.06 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +180.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 25c | 2,365$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.4 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d1…a451backed No | 24c | 2,357$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb015…d211backed Yes | 59c | 2,315$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc0…dc99backed Yes | 75c | 2,293$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 37c | 2,263$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156a…dd4bbacked No | 22c | 2,249$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.59 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed No | 42c | 2,229$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 29c | 2,214$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.4 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac3…bab4backed Yes | 63c | 2,114$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked No | 3c | 2,033$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59fb…3435backed Yes | 69c | 2,029$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 6c | 2,024$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.45 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…cbdbbacked Yes | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…966bbacked Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2aa…deecbacked Yes | 71c | 2,000$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ece…fd90backed No | 40c | 1,974$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…6702backed No | 41c | 1,946$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 50cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 38c | 1,935$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4767…6dafbacked Yes | 61c | 1,931$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd588…cec0backed Yes | 72c | 1,926$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 6c | 1,911$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 25c | 1,908$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.27 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 67c | 1,867$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…d1e4backed Yes | 68c | 1,824$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…9652backed Yes | 79c | 1,804$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…7585backed No | 22c | 1,787$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?this page
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?No won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million?No won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?No won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?Yes won
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.