TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe88b…f99f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 54 out of 100; worst UFC at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT5345.3%24 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$583.2
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$699Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$698.56
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.67
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,194Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+153%+$6,416.05
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+122.6%+$115.04
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,762Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$770.53
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$5,776Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,775.93
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,861Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,861.13
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$660.26
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.2
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,186.05
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,782Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,781.89
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$809Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$808.5
Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.55
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,378.36
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,022Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$865.98
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,624Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$3,319.07
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,304Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,304.49
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,786Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+115.4%+$3,214.33
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,435Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$453.12
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,086Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$801.49
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$839Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$839.26
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,370Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+155.5%+$2,130
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$623Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+203%+$1,264.96
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT4650%23 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$121.99
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.38
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.91
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$425
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$182
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+900%+$450
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$118
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$197.4
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.4
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$84
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$336.38
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$74.53
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.95
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.57
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.6
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$410
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$270
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$318.32
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$198.34
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$505Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+121.7%+$614.36
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,392Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+125%+$2,989.82
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,646Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+78.1%+$2,067.36
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+44.1%+$1,434.24
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$144.65
All 7 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+254.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$264
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$17.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$13.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$285.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.